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Mikael Backlund vs Cale Makar

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Cale Makar is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Cale Makar sits in the 76th percentile, Mikael Backlund the 5th.

MeasureBacklundMakar
Scoring · NHL
Points03
Goals01
Assists02
Ice time per game17:0719:09
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3288 pct0.2781 pct
Shot attempts per game5.396 pct2.562 pct
Goals above expected−1.05 pct+0.576 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share46.6%38 pct70.7%95 pct
Chances for per 602.6562 pct3.3086 pct
Chances against per 603.0419 pct1.3790 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0334 pct+0.0745 pct
Creates per 60−0.0923 pct−0.0923 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0657 pct+0.1578 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →