Mikael Backlund vs Brad Marchand
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Flames · CMikael BacklundChange first player
Flames skaters
- Mikael Backlund
- Morgan Frost
- Zayne Parekh
- Simon Nemec
- Joel Farabee
- Ryan Strome
- Matvei Gridin
- Matt Coronato
- Adam Klapka
- Connor Zary
- Jake Middleton
- Samuel Honzek
- Martin Pospisil
- Yegor Sharangovich
- Maxim Tsyplakov
- Zach Whitecloud
- Yan Kuznetsov
- Kevin Bahl
- Brennan Othmann
- Joel Hanley
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Panthers · LBrad MarchandChange second player
Panthers skaters
- Sam Reinhart
- Eetu Luostarinen
- Matthew Tkachuk
- Brady Tkachuk
- Carter Verhaeghe
- Sandis Vilmanis
- Sam Bennett
- Anton Lundell
- Seth Jones
- Brad Marchand
- Lars Eller
- Niko Mikkola
- Aaron Ekblad
- Garnet Hathaway
- Aleksander Barkov
- Gustav Forsling
- Radko Gudas
- Dmitry Kulikov
- Uvis Balinskis
- Bokondji Imama
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brad Marchand is ahead on 6 of 9 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brad Marchand sits in the 79th percentile, Mikael Backlund the 4th.
| Measure | Backlund | Marchand |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 17:07 | 13:10 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3287 pct | 0.5197 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 5.395 pct | 4.088 pct |
| Goals above expected | −1.04 pct | +0.579 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 46.6%39 pct | — |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.6561 pct | — |
| Chances against per 60 | 3.0421 pct | — |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.0333 pct | +0.4484 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.0924 pct | +0.6597 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0658 pct | −0.219 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →