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Brad Marchand vs Trevor Zegras

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Brad Marchand is ahead on 7 of 9 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brad Marchand sits in the 72nd percentile, Trevor Zegras the 4th.

MeasureMarchandZegras
Scoring · NHL
Points11
Goals10
Assists01
Ice time per game11:2318:42
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3389 pct0.2579 pct
Shot attempts per game3.583 pct1.841 pct
Goals above expected+0.372 pct−1.04 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share—13.1%1 pct
Chances for per 60—0.721 pct
Chances against per 60—4.741 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.4584 pct+0.1150 pct
Creates per 60+0.6597 pct+0.4188 pct
Prevents per 60−0.2012 pct−0.304 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →