Brad Marchand vs Brock Nelson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Change first player
Panthers skaters
- Sam Reinhart
- Eetu Luostarinen
- Matthew Tkachuk
- Brady Tkachuk
- Carter Verhaeghe
- Sandis Vilmanis
- Sam Bennett
- Anton Lundell
- Seth Jones
- Brad Marchand
- Lars Eller
- Niko Mikkola
- Aaron Ekblad
- Garnet Hathaway
- Aleksander Barkov
- Gustav Forsling
- Radko Gudas
- Dmitry Kulikov
- Uvis Balinskis
- Bokondji Imama
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Change second player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brock Nelson is ahead on 6 of 9 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Brad Marchand sits in the 88th percentile, Brock Nelson the 15th.
| Measure | Marchand | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 3 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 13:10 | 17:43 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.5196 pct | 0.0941 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 4.088 pct | 1.015 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.577 pct | +0.889 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | — | 59.7%72 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | — | 3.1780 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | — | 2.1358 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.4485 pct | +0.6493 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.6598 pct | +0.4892 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.2110 pct | +0.1680 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 537 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →
