San Jose Sharks at Columbus Blue Jackets
TV CBJNHL, CBJHN·Nationwide Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
41%Sharks
to win
59%
Blue Jackets
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CBJ.479vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CBJ-.114vs.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CBJ-.137vs.035GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CBJ.077vs.3005v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CBJCBJ at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSharks
Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/6043% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/6036% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/6020% to start63 career GP
Blue Jackets
Cam Talbot-0.07 GSAx/6069% to start603 career GP
Jet Greaves+0.27 GSAx/6031% to start76 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · CBJ Rick Bowness
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Celebrini115 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.0417th
- Goals for / game
- 18th3.00
- 3.5430th
- Goals against / game
- 16th3.06
- 21.2%16th
- Power play
- 22nd18.9%
- 76.4%26th
- Penalty kill
- 28th76.0%
- 47.8%26th
- Faceoffs
- 13th50.6%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).