New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers
TV NBCSP+, MSG·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Devils
to win
54%
Flyers
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PHI.485vs.495win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PHI-.033vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.001vs.010GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors NJD.697vs.4815v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors PHIPHI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDevils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6083% to start526 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6017% to start55 career GP
Flyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NJD Sheldon Keefe · PHI Rick Tocchet
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).