Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings
TV ABTV , MNMT·Crypto.com Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Capitals
to win
54%
Kings
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.516vs.489win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors LAK.013vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH.169vs.035GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors LAK.355vs.6265v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors LAKLAK at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCapitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6059% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6041% to start175 career GP
Kings
Darcy Kuemper+0.05 GSAx/6061% to start529 career GP
Anton Forsberg0.00 GSAx/6039% to start230 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WSH Spencer Carbery · LAK Peter Laviolette
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.1815th
- Goals for / game
- 29th2.68
- 2.907th
- Goals against / game
- 7th2.90
- 17.8%25th
- Power play
- 28th17.0%
- 80.1%14th
- Penalty kill
- 30th74.6%
- 49.3%20th
- Faceoffs
- 17th49.8%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).