Ottawa Senators at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, TSN5·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Senators
to win
52%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors OTT.515vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors OTT.107vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA-.066vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors OTT.609vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSenators
Linus Ullmark+0.09 GSAx/6062% to start360 career GP
Samuel Ersson-0.33 GSAx/6038% to start143 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: OTT Travis Green · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.358th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 2.9913th
- Goals against / game
- 10th2.93
- 24.0%8th
- Power play
- 18th20.0%
- 75.7%29th
- Penalty kill
- 19th78.1%
- 54.5%2nd
- Faceoffs
- 23rd49.2%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).