Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings
TV ABTV , NBCSP+·Crypto.com Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
41%Flyers
to win
59%
Kings
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PHI.495vs.489win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors LAK.009vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors LAK.010vs.035GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors LAK.465vs.6265v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors LAKLAK at home
- Back-to-backfavors PHIPHI played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
Kings
Darcy Kuemper+0.05 GSAx/6061% to start529 career GP
Anton Forsberg0.00 GSAx/6039% to start230 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PHI Rick Tocchet · LAK Peter Laviolette
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).