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Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ESPN, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Seattle Kraken 2-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Blankenburg's goal at 17:38 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 1.1; shots on goal were SEA 22, COL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Victor Ostman stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Parker Kelly (1 G), 3. Nick Blankenburg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    P. Kelly1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. Blankenburg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0705010022
COLCOL01711117235

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.09win prob +22 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:38

3rd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:19

Penalties

SEA 10 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:41SEARyker Evans · High stickingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

2nd

  • 0:28SEAVince Dunn · Trippingdrawn by Zakhar Bardakov2 min
  • 17:38SEAVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min

3rd

  • 1:09COLBrent Burns · Hookingdrawn by Jani Nyman2 min
  • 5:36SEABerkly Catton · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 7:14COLSam Malinski · Interferencedrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 13:55COLLogan O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 13:55SEAVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSEA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Blankenburg, 2nd 17:38 — COL 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.45C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.21Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.14P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.13R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.13N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.11R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.11D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Bardakov · Missed · xG 0.09N. Blankenburg · Goal · xG 0.09J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.08S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.05J. Polin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.04S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barré-Boulet · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.3 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsCOL
1.10 G
All situations
2 G3.3
0.60 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA19%81%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.12 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsCOL
22
Shots on goal
35
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
12
19
Blocked shots
8
17
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000040.31020—21:57
6A. LarssonD000-140.05130—21:54
29V. DunnD000-110.18326—20:36
9C. StephensonC000010.180005319:16
41R. EvansD000010.05232—19:06
55R. LindgrenD000-100.00110—16:58
74B. McMannC000020.15000016:36
8C. FleuryD000-100.04430—15:42
10M. BeniersC000000.000102215:34
7J. EberleR000000.01100—15:13
89F. GaudreauC000-200.002004515:10
20E. TolvanenR000020.02300—14:54
59B. MeyersC000-220.013106014:35
26R. WintertonC000-200.00120013:53
27B. CattonC000000.001025013:31
51S. WrightC000000.000102913:28
84K. KakkoR000040.06000—12:18
38J. NymanR000010.07000—12:09
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1V. Ostman(L)35332.9432.82+0.8257:10

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).