Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The Bruins scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Domi's goal at 18:08 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 56% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 7.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were TOR 35, BOS 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (18 saves, .900), 2. John Tavares (3 A), 3. Matthew Knies (2 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Stolarz18 saves, .900

- ★★J. Tavares3 A

- ★★★M. Knies2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-15:04
2nd period
1-17:27
2-118:08
3rd period
3-13:00
3-25:08
4-219:38
Penalties
1st
- 5:35
Michael Pezzetta · High stickingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
- 15:26
Casey Mittelstadt · Hookingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
2nd
- 3:15
Dakota Joshua · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
- 5:37
Brandon Carlo · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
- 7:51
Jake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
- 16:42
Henri Jokiharju · Slashingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
- 17:53
Easton Cowan · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
- 17:53
Nikita Zadorov · Boardingdrawn by John Tavares5 min
3rd
- 3:03
Dakota Joshua · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
- 3:03
Nikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Dakota Joshua5 min
- 4:08
Matthew Knies · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
- 18:56
Casey Mittelstadt · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Max Domi, 2nd 18:08 — 56% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 7.03 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.9
- 3.11 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.8
- 1.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.1
- 0.71 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.72 – 2.93
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 35%
- Faceoffs
- 65%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 1/5
- 17
- Penalty minutes
- 16
- 22
- Hits
- 16
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 6
- 12
- Giveaways
- 28
- 6
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
