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Hurricanes at Penguins
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
FinalTV FDSNSO, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 6:24 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were CAR 26, PIT 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 21 of 25 (.840). Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 1 A), 2. Seth Jarvis (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jalen Chatfield (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Chatfield1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR1931017526
PITPIT050618119

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(25)PPG
    S. Jarvis (29)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:47

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(21)PPG
    S. Jarvis (30), A. Nikishin (18)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:24
  2. CAR
    J. Chatfield(2)
    E. Robinson (6)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    9:15
  3. CAR
    S. Jarvis(29)PPG
    N. Ehlers (37), A. Svechnikov (35)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    17:20

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Chinakhov(16)
    B. Rust (31), S. Crosby (35)
    snapxG 0.22Video
    4-1
    14:56
  2. CAR
    M. Jankowski(8)EN
    J. Blake (24), L. Stankoven (19)
    wristxG 0.81Video
    5-1
    18:56

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·PIT 14 PIM

1st

  • 0:25PITRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 5:24PITSamuel Girard · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 10:40CARMike Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Justin Brazeau2 min
  • 16:39PITAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 16:39PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 16:39CARTaylor Hall · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

3rd

  • 7:28PITErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 9:24CARJordan Martinook · Holding the stickdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min
  • 9:24PITParker Wotherspoon · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 12:40PITElmer Soderblom · High stickingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 19:22CARMike Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalCAR goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 2nd 6:24 — CAR 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Chinakhov · Goal · xG 0.22J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.18B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.14N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.13T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.12J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.11J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.11R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.09T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.08B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.08T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.06E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.03E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPIT
5.94 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.93 G
Power play
0 G0.4
1.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR69%31%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.44 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPIT
26
Shots on goal
19
49%
Faceoffs
51%
3/5
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
14
21
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD000010.04320—24:36
26S. WalkerD000+100.01240—21:50
74J. SlavinD000+110.01010—20:46
20S. AhoC101031.061004519:43
5J. ChatfieldD101010.03010—19:36
24S. JarvisR123040.50000—18:03
37A. SvechnikovR011051.44000—17:17
53J. BlakeR011010.75000—16:32
22L. StankovenC011010.420102716:20
27N. EhlersL112040.32110—16:15
21A. NikishinD011010.02220—16:15
71T. HallL000-100.00302—16:04
11J. StaalC000000.083004515:25
48J. MartinookL000000.1401210013:07
50E. RobinsonL011+100.12200—12:39
6M. ReillyD000010.02004—11:09
28W. CarrierL000+110.09410—11:00
77M. JankowskiL101+220.820006910:53
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)19181.9472.36+1.3659:52

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).