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St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV FDSNMW, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pius Suter's goal at 10:17 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were STL 21, VAN 15. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 14 of 15 (.933), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 1 A), 2. Filip Hronek (1 G), 3. Jimmy Snuggerud.

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    F. Hronek1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Snuggerud

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0521115321
VANVAN040615115

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    deflectedxG 0.81win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:17
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:36

3rd period

  1. VAN
    F. Hronek(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:32
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(16)EN
    backhandxG 0.80win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:12

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:55STLJake Neighbours · Trippingdrawn by Tom Willander2 min
  • 10:02VANKevin Lankinen · Trippingdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min

2nd

  • 19:59VANBrock Boeser · Slashingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min

3rd

  • 7:30STLJake Neighbours · Interferencedrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 17:44VANFilip Hronek · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalSTL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Pius Suter, 2nd 10:17 — STL 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.28B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.27L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.16D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.15B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.15F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.14M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.14L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.13L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.06L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.06F. Hronek · Goal · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 2.0 xG · 22 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVAN
4.32 G
All situations
1 G2.0
3.32 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 58 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL75%25%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVAN
21
Shots on goal
15
33%
Faceoffs
67%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD011+100.04100—22:34
23L. MaillouxD022+110.11100—21:59
18R. ThomasC011+130.550201820:01
21J. SnuggerudR000050.42020—19:30
81D. HollowayL011+110.2741010019:22
17C. FowlerD000+100.16020—19:01
4J. HollD000+100.00120—18:47
55C. ParaykoD000010.02110—18:25
89P. BuchnevichL112+110.100104016:42
25J. KyrouR101+131.42010—15:56
41T. LindsteinD000010.04100—15:39
92J. DrouinL000000.05000—14:55
28O. StenbergC000000.00100014:45
54D. DvorskyR000000.000001114:27
63J. NeighboursL000+100.002045011:58
22P. SuterC101+120.860104011:22
37J. FinleyC000020.212005011:03
13A. ToropchenkoR000010.04420—10:48
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)15141.9332.00+1.0059:44

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).