Skip to content

San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NBCSCA, TVAS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the San Jose Sharks 7-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 13:08 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were SJS 23, OTT 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.9 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Drake Batherson (2 G), 2. Fabian Zetterlund (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    D. Batherson2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    F. Zetterlund1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    T. Toffoli1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS2131614423
OTTOTT1531237724

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:05
  2. OTT
    Unassisted
    xG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:33
  3. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:43

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:31
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:46
  3. OTT
    slapxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:40
  4. OTT
    wristxG 0.12win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-4
    14:45

3rd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.07win prob +25 ptsVideo
    4-4
    3:28
  2. OTT
    A. Zub (19), C. Giroux (30)
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +35 ptsVideo
    4-5
    13:08
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-6
    14:50
  4. OTT
    M. Amadio (18), A. Zub (20)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-7
    17:43

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:42OTTTim Stützle · High stickingdrawn by Michael Misa2 min
  • 6:17SJSJohn Klingberg · Interferencedrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 19:19SJSVincent Desharnais · Cross checkingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 12:03SJSDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 18:58OTTArtem Zub · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalSJS goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Drake Batherson, 3rd 13:08 — OTT 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.94B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.28D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.25T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.23M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.14W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.12W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.12T. Kleven · Goal · xG 0.12T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.10L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.10S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.10D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.08R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.08S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.07R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.07N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.06W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.06D. Gilbert · On goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.06N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.05S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.05S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.03W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.03N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT7 G · 4.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsOTT
1.84 G
All situations
6 G4.0
1.74 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS26%74%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsOTT
23
Shots on goal
24
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
30
19
Blocked shots
12
20
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71M. CelebriniC011-120.173003920:40
5V. DesharnaisD011+100.00412—20:35
38M. FerraroD112020.06020—20:33
6S. DickinsonD011+210.06040—20:26
9D. OrlovD000-200.00112—18:47
2W. SmithC000-110.07000018:12
51C. GrafR101020.26000—17:10
72W. EklundL000-120.2012010017:07
3J. KlingbergD000-200.00102—17:07
85S. MukhamadullinD022020.02040—17:02
44K. SherwoodL000-120.21300—16:36
73T. ToffoliC112-120.21010014:22
84P. RegendaL000-210.21310—14:22
63Z. OstapchukC000+120.113105013:27
23B. GoodrowC000+100.00210013:01
96P. KurashevC000-110.062007113:00
77M. MisaC101010.070002011:58
81A. GaudetteR000+120.070102511:33
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
93L. Brossoit(L)23186.7833.08-2.9259:09

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).