San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the San Jose Sharks 7-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 13:08 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were SJS 23, OTT 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.9 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Drake Batherson (2 G), 2. Fabian Zetterlund (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★D. Batherson2 G

- ★★F. Zetterlund1 G, 1 A

- ★★★T. Toffoli1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
11 goals1st period
1-04:05
1-17:33
2-114:43
2nd period
2-24:31
3-210:46
3-313:40
3-414:45
3rd period
4-43:28
4-513:08
4-614:50
4-717:43
Penalties
1st
- 1:42
Tim Stützle · High stickingdrawn by Michael Misa2 min
- 6:17
John Klingberg · Interferencedrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
- 19:19
Vincent Desharnais · Cross checkingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
2nd
- 12:03
Dmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
- 18:58
Artem Zub · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Drake Batherson, 3rd 13:08 — 52% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.84 G
- All situations
- 6 G4.0
- 1.74 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.6
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 3.08
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 2/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 23
- Hits
- 30
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 20
- Giveaways
- 11
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 2-0
3@
2Final
4@
7this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
