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Ottawa Senators at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Seattle Kraken 7-4. The Kraken scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shane Pinto's goal at 1:34 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 37, SEA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.1 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 30 of 37 (.811), 3.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shane Pinto (1 G, 2 A), 2. Michael Amadio (1 G, 1 A), 3. Thomas Chabot (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    S. Pinto1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Amadio1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT213213311737
SEASEA1516210421

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.30win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:45
  2. OTT
    S. Pinto (15), M. Amadio (16)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:19
  3. OTT
    T. Chabot (20), N. Jensen (13)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:35

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Zub (17), N. Cousins (10)
    deflectedxG 0.23win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:34
  2. OTT
    S. Pinto (16), N. Cousins (11)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    10:09
  3. SEA
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:00

3rd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-2
    2:42
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    3:58
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.06
    7-2
    7:24
  4. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.04
    7-3
    10:16
  5. SEA
    V. Dunn (28), J. Eberle (22)
    slapxG 0.10
    7-4
    17:45

Penalties

OTT 23 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:51OTTShane Pinto · Cross checkingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 14:55SEAJordan Eberle · High stickingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

2nd

  • 3:33SEAEeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

3rd

  • 4:50OTTShane Pinto · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryker Evans2 min
  • 16:35OTTTyler Kleven · Slashingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 16:35SEAJared McCann · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
  • 16:35OTTTyler Kleven · Cross checkingdrawn by Jared McCann5 min
  • 16:35OTTTyler Kleven · Game misconduct10 min
  • 16:58OTTLars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalOTT goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Shane Pinto, 2nd 1:34 — OTT 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Melanson · Goal · xG 0.30J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.24B. Catton · Missed · xG 0.17E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.11B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.09B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.06R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.06B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04B. Catton · Missed · xG 0.03B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.03B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02R. Winterton · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.01R. Winterton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.00B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.00R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 1.9 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsSEA
3.47 G
All situations
4 G1.9
3.27 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT76%24%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsSEA
37
Shots on goal
21
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/2
Power play
1/4
23
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
28
8
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD022+120.15010—26:12
2A. ZubD011+110.04010—21:55
3N. JensenD011+200.01100—20:32
43T. KlevenD101+210.143017—19:13
10J. SpenceD000+120.04110—18:19
12S. PintoC123+230.702146218:18
18T. StützleC101020.141007517:51
71R. GreigC000030.332004017:11
24D. CozensC101+120.145003816:05
7B. TkachukL101+150.311106315:18
22M. AmadioR112+120.22200—14:40
21N. CousinsC022+210.04000013:40
19D. BathersonR011040.33210—12:56
85J. SandersonD000+130.08010—12:52
28C. GirouxR000+100.000006312:50
37W. FoegeleL101+120.22110—11:49
20F. ZetterlundL000+200.01300—11:42
89L. EllerC011+140.542026210:44
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)21174.8101.89-2.1159:41

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).