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Avalanche at Kings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
2
FinalTV FDSNW, ALT2·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Devon Toews's goal at 15:05 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.2 to 1.2; shots on goal were COL 39, LAK 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.8 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Anton Forsberg (35 saves, .921), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 3. Devon Toews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Forsberg35 saves, .921
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    D. Toews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL29014216439
LAKLAK181508221

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(41)
    M. Necas (44), G. Landeskog (18)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:27
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(8)
    B. Burns (19), M. Necas (45)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:13
  3. LAK
    B. Clarke(8)PPG
    A. Kopitar (18)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:20

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Booth(1)
    B. Dumoulin (12), A. Kempe (28)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:32

3rd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(2)
    N. MacKinnon (58), C. Makar (44)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +40 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:05
  2. COL
    M. Necas(26)EN
    G. Landeskog (19)
    wristxG 0.79win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:58

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:14COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Helenius2 min

2nd

  • 20:00LAKBrandt Clarke · Slashingdrawn by Sam Malinski2 min
  • 20:00COLParker Kelly · Roughingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min

3rd

  • 19:25LAKBrandt Clarke · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Devon Toews, 3rd 15:05 — COL 48% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.17A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.13A. Booth · Goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connors · On goal · xG 0.07J. Malott · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.04J. Malott · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.03B. Clarke · Goal · xG 0.03J. Wright · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02S. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Booth · Missed · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connors · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connors · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.00A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.00K. Connors · On goal · xG 0.00J. Malott · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 1.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
4.23 G
All situations
2 G1.2
3.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL86%14%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.45 – 1.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
39
Shots on goal
21
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/1
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
36
11
Blocked shots
23
23
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011+350.21030—25:26
7D. ToewsD101+210.16110—22:29
29N. MacKinnonC112+380.880105421:07
88M. NecasC123+320.92210020:25
11B. NelsonC000020.451104019:13
70S. MalinskiD000000.02000—19:07
13V. NichushkinR000010.12000—19:06
92G. LandeskogL123+350.480005018:44
84B. BurnsD011030.13010—18:13
42J. MansonD000-110.13302—17:23
27B. KulakD000020.03010—17:21
17P. KellyC000-110.0511210016:40
18J. DruryC000-120.051106216:03
95V. OlofssonL000030.25100—14:09
20R. ColtonC000-120.3020010012:23
93Z. BardakovC000000.00000009:14
54G. BrindleyC000000.00100007:30
62A. LehkonenL000010.06000—03:21
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)21192.9051.24-0.7660:00

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).