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Red Wings at Predators
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV NHLN, FDSNSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Nashville Predators 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Red Wings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Albert Johansson's goal at 16:36 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 45% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were DET 31, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Marco Kasper (2 A), 2. Juuse Saros (27 saves, .900), 3. Albert Johansson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    M. Kasper2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros27 saves, .900
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. Johansson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET11121416431
NSHNSH11116013230

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    E. Finnie(10)
    M. Kasper (8), M. Appleton (7)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:51
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(26)PPG
    L. Evangelista (37), R. Josi (30)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:02

2nd period

  1. NSH
    J. Marchessault(11)
    R. O'Reilly (37)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:10
  2. DET
    L. Raymond(20)
    A. DeBrincat (29), A. Copp (26)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:45
  3. DET
    A. Johansson(2)SHG
    M. Kasper (9), M. Appleton (8)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:36

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(31)EN
    L. Raymond (44)
    backhandxG 0.87win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:32

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:13DETDylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min

2nd

  • 14:58DETMoritz Seider · Slashingdrawn by Nick Blankenburg2 min
  • 19:57NSHJonathan Marchessault · Slashingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

3rd

  • 5:03DETMason Appleton · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 19:43NSHErik Haula · Slashingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDET goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Albert Johansson, 2nd 16:36 — DET 45% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.32S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.17R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.15R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.14R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.13N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.12Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.03N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.01T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.01
NSH2 G · 3.2 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNSH
3.63 G
All situations
2 G3.2
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET43%57%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNSH
31
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD000+100.00340—23:45
53M. SeiderD000+110.02332—23:36
77S. EdvinssonD000+100.00100—22:52
25J. Bernard-DockerD000010.02110—19:52
71D. LarkinC000060.620125019:46
23L. RaymondL112+130.56000—17:59
27M. RasmussenC000020.13020017:29
18A. CoppC011+110.040104717:09
93A. DeBrincatR112+131.05100—17:02
20A. JohanssonD101+220.17010—16:40
92M. KasperC022+210.101005015:22
88P. KaneR000020.25020—14:47
22M. AppletonC022+230.09002013:58
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000+100.01000—12:16
58E. FinnieC101+130.44210011:31
37J. CompherL000010.080105011:05
21J. van RiemsdykL000010.03110—10:01
65D. ShineR000010.01110—09:01
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)19181.9472.23+1.2340:00
36J. Gibson11101.9090.93-0.0720:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).