Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-1. The Jets scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lane Hutson's goal at 6:44 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals were close — MTL 5.1, WPG 4.9; shots on goal were MTL 27, WPG 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 3.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Montembeault (36 saves, .973), 2. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 2 A), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Montembeault36 saves, .973

- ★★B. Gallagher1 G, 2 A

- ★★★K. Connor1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-16:07
1-116:26
2nd period
2-15:28
3-16:44
3rd period
4-110:57
5-119:46
Penalties
1st
- 4:49
Josh Anderson · High stickingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
- 17:48
Gustav Nyquist · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
- 19:24
Zachary Bolduc · Interferencedrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
3rd
- 2:01
Alexandre Carrier · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
- 9:00
Josh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
- 18:12
Brendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Lane Hutson, 2nd 6:44 — 64% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 5.14 G
- All situations
- 1 G4.9
- 2.43 G
- Even strength
- 0 G3.0
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.9
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 4.54
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 21
- Hits
- 15
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 11
- Giveaways
- 21
- 8
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-0
2@
3SOFinal
5@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
