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Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV SN, RDS·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-1. The Jets scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lane Hutson's goal at 6:44 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals were close — MTL 5.1, WPG 4.9; shots on goal were MTL 27, WPG 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 3.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Montembeault (36 saves, .973), 2. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 2 A), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1112927527
WPGWPG113013011137

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(25)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:07
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.36win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:26

2nd period

  1. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:28
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:44

3rd period

  1. MTL
    K. Dach (5), Z. Bolduc (13)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    10:57
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.73Video
    5-1
    19:46

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:49MTLJosh Anderson · High stickingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 17:48WPGGustav Nyquist · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 19:24MTLZachary Bolduc · Interferencedrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

3rd

  • 2:01MTLAlexandre Carrier · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 9:00WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 18:12MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMTL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Lane Hutson, 2nd 6:44 — MTL 64% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.31G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.29N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.28C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.24N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.20N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.20G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.19V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.16K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.13C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Salomonsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01E. Salomonsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.00L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 4.9 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWPG
5.14 G
All situations
1 G4.9
2.43 G
Even strength
0 G3.0
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL27%73%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 4.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
37
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
15
11
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
21
8
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000+220.23010—24:50
53N. DobsonD022+210.01210—21:31
48L. HutsonD101+210.10020—21:02
21K. GuhleD000010.04110—20:47
20J. SlafkovskýL011+110.480205017:21
14N. SuzukiC000010.071105016:56
71J. EvansC000020.690104316:25
45A. CarrierD000+110.01002—16:22
13C. CaufieldR000050.42200—15:27
17J. AndersonR123+330.5810210015:21
24P. DanaultC101+231.161006715:18
77K. DachC011000.00110015:17
93I. DemidovR000+100.00000—14:11
91O. KapanenC101+240.471103813:44
11B. GallagherR123+210.81202—12:38
90J. VelenoC000010.015006712:34
47J. StrubleD011+100.00200—12:03
76Z. BolducR011000.00202—11:07
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)37361.9734.91+3.9160:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).