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Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FDSNDETX, FDSNW·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Samuel Helenius's goal at 10:00 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were LAK 22, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 2.1 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Andrei Kuzmenko (1 G), 2. Samuel Helenius (1 G), 3. Alex DeBrincat (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kuzmenko1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    S. Helenius1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK091825322
DETDET0505118128

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.13win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:00

3rd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe (23), K. Fiala (19)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:46
  2. DET
    M. Seider (29), P. Kane (23)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:45
  3. LAK
    C. Perry(11)EN
    wristxG 0.26win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:47

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:08DETAlbert Johansson · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Ward2 min
  • 11:09DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
  • 13:04LAKQuinton Byfield · Trippingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

2nd

  • 18:21LAKAndrei Kuzmenko · Hookingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

3rd

  • 5:53DETJacob Bernard-Docker · Slashingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 7:29LAKDrew Doughty · Holdingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 19:53LAKAdrian Kempe · Slashingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalLAK goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Samuel Helenius, 2nd 10:00 — LAK 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.20A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.18E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.18J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.17P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.16M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.09L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.08M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.05E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.05M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.04A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Sandin-Pellikka · Missed · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sandin-Pellikka · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsDET
2.82 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK38%62%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsDET
22
Shots on goal
28
31%
Faceoffs
69%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
11
16
Blocked shots
15
20
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000+200.00012—22:21
44M. AndersonD000+100.00200—21:58
14A. LaferriereR011+110.327002719:35
92B. ClarkeD000010.08160—19:26
5C. CeciD000-110.01130—19:04
55Q. ByfieldR000-100.121124218:15
6J. EdmundsonD000010.00110—17:43
10C. PerryR101+120.33100—17:28
9A. KempeR011+110.240022516:38
12T. MooreL000010.02000—16:38
37W. FoegeleL000-140.3610010015:44
22K. FialaL011-110.14110—15:26
2B. DumoulinD000020.08020—14:56
96A. KuzmenkoL101010.46012—14:46
40J. ArmiaR000000.170003314:05
79S. HeleniusC101+130.242002511:02
52T. WardR000+110.06000—10:48
39J. MalottL011+120.17300—08:00
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(W)28271.9643.10+2.1060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).