Penguins at Canucks 3-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Pittsburgh Penguins

▸3

Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SN-PIT, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ben Kindel's goal at 8:41 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 65% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were PIT 25, VAN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Ben Kindel (2 G), 2. Jake DeBrusk (1 G), 3. Evgeni Malkin (1 G).

Three stars

★
B. Kindel2 G
★★
J. DeBrusk1 G
★★★
E. Malkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
PIT	08	313	04	325
VAN	08	010	214	232

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

E. Malkin(13)
T. Novak (19), E. Chinakhov (5)
wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
1-0
5:24
B. Kindel(9)
R. Shea (17), A. Mantha (19)
tip-inxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
2-0
8:41
B. Kindel(10)
J. Brazeau (11), B. Kulak (6)
slapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
3-0
17:22

3rd period

J. DeBrusk(13)
E. Pettersson (18), E. Kane (15)
backhandxG 0.12win prob +5 ptsVideo
3-1
6:29
T. Blueger(3)
L. Ohgren (3), F. Hronek (26)
deflectedxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
3-2
14:00

Penalties

4 PIM·

0 PIM

2nd

1:57Anthony Mantha · Elbowingdrawn by Liam Ohgren2 min

3rd

20:00Bryan Rust · Illegal check to headdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: VAN

Biggest swing: Ben Kindel, 2nd 8:41 — PIT 65% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 3.9 xG · 52 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att VAN

2 G · 3.9 xG · 52 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.03 G
All situations: 2 G3.9; 2.83 G
Even strength: 2 G2.5; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

34%66%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 3.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

25
Shots on goal: 32; 55%
Faceoffs: 45%; 0/0
Power play: 0/1; 4
Penalty minutes: 0; 27
Hits: 25; 14
Blocked shots: 13; 18
Giveaways: 16; 2
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
58K. LetangD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	2	0	—	26:28
77B. KulakD	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	—	24:04
65E. KarlssonD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	0	1	0	—	23:57
28P. WotherspoonD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	3	5	0	—	23:40
5R. SheaD	0	1	1	0	3	0.13	0	0	0	—	19:27
17B. RustR	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	2	1	2	—	17:53
87S. CrosbyC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	71	16:43
59E. ChinakhovR	0	1	1	+1	0	0.21	1	0	0	—	16:33
67R. RakellR	0	0	0	-1	0	0.18	5	1	0	—	16:20
71E. MalkinC	1	0	1	+1	5	0.63	0	1	0	50	16:01
18T. NovakC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	27	14:35
46B. LizotteC	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	0	0	60	13:58
55N. AcciariC	0	0	0	-1	2	0.33	2	0	0	50	13:56
19C. DewarC	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	3	1	0	0	13:55
81B. KindelC	2	0	2	+2	5	0.57	0	1	0	60	13:28
39A. ManthaR	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	2	—	12:29
16J. BrazeauR	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	3	0	0	—	11:39
3J. St. IvanyD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	02:54

Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
74S. Skinner(W)	32	30	2	.938	3.87	+1.87	60:00

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Oct 211@5Final
Jan 253@2this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score