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Golden Knights at Maple Leafs
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-3. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bobby McMann's goal at 18:19 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 12% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were VGK 31, TOR 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.7 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ivan Barbashev (2 A), 3. Matthew Knies (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Knies2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK21027214631
TORTOR0531105321

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    J. Eichel(19)
    M. Stone (32), I. Barbashev (22)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:06
  2. VGK
    K. Kolesar(4)
    J. Rondbjerg (1), R. Smith (7)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:31

2nd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(19)
    M. Knies (30), M. Maccelli (13)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:13
  2. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(22)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:32
  3. VGK
    B. Bowman(7)
    T. Laczynski (2), A. Holtz (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    5:16
  4. TOR
    S. Laughton(8)
    M. Knies (31)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-2
    10:04
  5. TOR
    B. McMann(16)
    M. Domi (18), M. Rielly (24)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:19

3rd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(19)
    I. Barbashev (23)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-3
    15:11
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(20)EN
    J. Eichel (42), R. Andersson (21)
    wristxG 0.44Video
    6-3
    19:01

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:01TORScott Laughton · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

3rd

  • 12:37VGKTomas Hertl · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Anthony Stolarz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalVGK goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Bobby McMann, 2nd 18:19 — TOR 12% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.39J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.24B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.15J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.13S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.12E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.10M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.10S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.10M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.10M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.07B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.06B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.06M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.00M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsTOR
3.15 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.35 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK56%44%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsTOR
31
Shots on goal
21
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
8
18
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15N. HanifinD000+100.00030—22:27
27S. TheodoreD000+100.00020—22:09
4R. AnderssonD011+120.08030—21:33
5J. LauzonD000+100.01530—21:27
9J. EichelC112+330.230004219:16
61M. StoneR213+330.70020—18:19
49I. BarbashevL022+210.13010—17:47
48T. HertlC000-120.290025417:25
93M. MarnerR000010.01000—17:25
16P. DorofeyevR101-130.24000—17:05
6K. KorczakD000+100.00210—15:11
55K. KolesarR101+150.52200—14:51
46J. RondbjergR011+130.29000—14:40
17B. HuttonD000+100.00000—14:27
19R. SmithR011+110.140002014:24
42B. BowmanR101020.10000—10:18
26A. HoltzR011010.10200—09:45
28T. LaczynskiC011040.240005709:31
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)21183.8572.28-0.7260:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).