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Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV KHN/Prime, SN-PIT·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Seattle Kraken 6-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Kulak's goal at 14:45 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were PIT 32, SEA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 23 (.870); Joey Daccord stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (2 A), 2. Ben Meyers (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Dewar (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    B. Meyers1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    C. Dewar2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT27115310632
SEASEA161819323

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:44
  2. PIT
    C. Dewar(10)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:50
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:12

2nd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.23win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:55
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.02win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:45

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    2:21
  2. SEA
    slapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-3
    7:47
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-3
    16:48
  4. PIT
    C. Dewar(11)EN
    wristxG 0.48Video
    6-3
    19:30

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:29SEARyan Lindgren · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 7:20PITBrett Kulak · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

2nd

  • 7:57PITBlake Lizotte · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 17:02SEARyan Lindgren · Interferencedrawn by Ben Kindel2 min

3rd

  • 6:24PITBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 10:21SEABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalPIT goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Brett Kulak, 2nd 14:45 — PIT 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.35K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.27R. Lindgren · Goal · xG 0.23E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.10E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.09V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.08B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.08R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08B. Meyers · Goal · xG 0.07J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Catton · Missed · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02R. Winterton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.01
SEA3 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsSEA
3.25 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.94 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT51%49%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsSEA
32
Shots on goal
23
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
16
18
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000+310.00310—21:58
28P. WotherspoonD101010.03300—20:47
5R. SheaD000020.02330—20:40
17B. RustR000+120.22010—20:30
77B. KulakD101+320.05004—20:27
67R. RakellR101+210.18300—18:43
87S. CrosbyC022+220.291004418:04
71E. MalkinC000040.42000016:39
59E. ChinakhovR000030.28100—15:46
75C. CliftonD011+100.00410—15:31
27R. GravesD000+100.06110—15:14
81B. KindelC000010.051006714:23
39A. ManthaR022030.3200010013:47
18T. NovakC000020.140006713:16
55N. AcciariC000+300.080104613:10
19C. DewarC202+230.68210012:26
46B. LizotteC022+220.130128311:58
16J. BrazeauR101-130.24100—11:28
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)23203.8702.67-0.3359:50

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).