Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 0:29 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.2 to 3.0; shots on goal were VAN 23, MTL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Nikita Tolopilo stopped 35 of 41 (.854), 1.8 goals below expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Alexandre Carrier (2 G), 2. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ivan Demidov (3 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Carrier2 G

- ★★J. Slafkovský1 G, 2 A

- ★★★I. Demidov3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-011:53
1-118:13
2nd period
2-11:50
2-24:31
2-34:51
3-39:42
3rd period
3-40:29
3-51:07
3-66:05
Penalties
1st
- 18:09
Brock Boeser · Hookingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
3rd
- 10:19
Alexandre Carrier · Cross checkingdrawn by Liam Ohgren2 min
- 17:48
Noah Dobson · Hookingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mike Matheson, 3rd 0:29 — 53% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.03 G
- All situations
- 6 G4.2
- 2.43 G
- Even strength
- 5 G4.1
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 4.13
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 41
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 12
- Hits
- 26
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 26
- 18
- Giveaways
- 19
- 4
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-0
4@
3Final
3@
6this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
