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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
FinalTV FDSNMW, SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Blues scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Theodore's goal at 15:48 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 19, VGK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Akira Schmid stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jack Eichel (1 G), 3. Shea Theodore (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Marner1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL140718219
VGKVGK1122815425

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(11)
    P. Broberg (13), C. Parayko (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:53
  2. VGK
    M. Marner(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:34

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Eichel(14)
    K. Korczak (8)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:27
  2. VGK
    S. Theodore(5)
    J. Lauzon (6), M. Marner (36)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:48

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(11)PPG
    R. Thomas (22), J. Kyrou (10)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:33
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(15)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.45win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:36

Penalties

STL 7 PIM·VGK 7 PIM

1st

  • 4:27STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Mark Stone5 min
  • 4:27VGKMark Stone · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min

2nd

  • 8:10STLOskar Sundqvist · Roughingdrawn by Kaedan Korczak2 min

3rd

  • 2:34VGKPavel Dorofeyev · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Shea Theodore, 2nd 15:48 — VGK 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.45J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.20M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.19J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.14P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.14C. Reinhardt · Missed · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.09C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06B. Bowman · Missed · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.05B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.05J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
2.22 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL53%47%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
19
Shots on goal
25
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/1
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
7
30
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
9
12
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17C. FowlerD000-110.04030—27:41
55C. ParaykoD011020.02330—26:43
72J. FaulkD000-200.03230—25:18
23L. MaillouxD000-100.00310—20:01
75T. TuckerD000-300.01420—18:45
89P. BuchnevichL000-310.17100—18:11
21J. SnuggerudR000-140.56200—17:56
63J. NeighboursL101030.35210—17:30
18R. ThomasC112020.620004217:13
10B. SchennC000-310.022055515:32
25J. KyrouR011+120.23010—15:11
26N. WalkerL000-100.004106314:18
13A. ToropchenkoR000-120.10000—13:07
29J. BerggrenR000-100.01210—13:03
28O. StenbergC000010.00200012:51
54D. DvorskyR000000.001008612:27
70O. SundqvistC000-100.002128612:23
6P. BrobergD011+100.00000—00:55
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)24213.8751.99-1.0158:55

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).