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Flyers at Flames
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
1
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV NBCSP, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Andersson's goal at 12:03 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 26, CGY 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 1.9 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. MacKenzie Weegar (2 A), 2. Rasmus Andersson (1 G), 3. Matt Coronato (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Weegar2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Coronato2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI04110012126
CGYCGY13313110526

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(10)
    M. Coronato (10), B. Coleman (8)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:30

2nd period

  1. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(8)
    M. Weegar (10), Y. Kuznetsov (5)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:08
  2. PHI
    T. Konecny(13)
    Unassisted
    xG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:49
  3. CGY
    R. Andersson(8)PPG
    C. Zary (7), N. Kadri (24)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:03
  4. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(8)PPG
    M. Coronato (11), M. Weegar (11)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    17:52

3rd period

  1. CGY
    C. Zary(6)
    R. Lomberg (2)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    9:37

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

2nd

  • 4:12CGYYan Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 10:21PHICam York · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 10:25PHIChristian Dvorak · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 13:56CGYAdam Klapka · Roughingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 13:56PHINick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Adam Klapka2 min
  • 16:13PHIJamie Drysdale · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 17:24CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Interferencedrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalPHI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson, 2nd 12:03 — CGY 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.33M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.21Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.19C. Zary · Goal · xG 0.17B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.15Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.15J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.14B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.14C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.13R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.13C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.12M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.08B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.08B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.06R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.01J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.00A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.00H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCGY
2.51 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI39%61%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCGY
26
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
15
18
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9J. DrysdaleD000-100.05002—22:38
55R. RistolainenD000010.01220—22:15
6T. SanheimD000-100.06040—22:04
8C. YorkD000+110.13012—21:14
11T. KonecnyR101030.29000—19:12
22C. DvorakC000040.490124019:07
46T. ZegrasC000010.09010018:55
39M. MichkovR000000.00000—16:16
24N. SeelerD000-230.14232—14:38
47N. JuulsenD000-120.12300—13:58
27N. CatesL000020.233101713:57
52D. BarkeyC000-110.00110013:43
10B. BrinkR000000.04410—13:38
14S. CouturierC000-110.190006213:13
74O. TippettR000-150.47300—12:45
18R. AbolsC000-120.160207512:12
91C. GrundstromR000-100.00410—12:10
29N. GrebenkinR000-100.00100—10:49
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)26215.8083.11-1.8959:55

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).