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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
Carolina Hurricanes
2
FinalTV FDSNSO, SCRIPPS·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-2. The Panthers came back from two goals down. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anton Lundell's goal at 7:00 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were FLA 22, CAR 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Frederik Andersen stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Bennett (1 G), 2. Seth Jones (1 G), 3. Sam Reinhart (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Jones1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0305514522
CARCAR1611003219

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    E. Robinson(8)
    S. Aho (19), J. Nystrom (6)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:11

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(9)
    J. Staal (6)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:58

3rd period

  1. FLA
    N. Mikkola(1)
    E. Luostarinen (11), S. Reinhart (17)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:53
  2. FLA
    L. Kunin(2)
    N. Gregor (2), A. Ekblad (11)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:17
  3. FLA
    A. Lundell(12)
    S. Reinhart (18), E. Luostarinen (12)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:00
  4. FLA
    S. Bennett(13)
    A. Greer (8), A. Ekblad (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    9:57
  5. FLA
    S. Jones(6)PPG
    S. Reinhart (19), B. Marchand (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    15:21

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 13:19FLAGustav Forsling · Interferencedrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 14:02CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Trippingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 19:48CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

2nd

  • 12:52FLAJesper Boqvist · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 19:36FLABrad Marchand · Holding the stickdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 19:36CARK'Andre Miller · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

3rd

  • 14:44CARK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 19:56CARMark Jankowski · High sticking double minordrawn by Jesper Boqvist4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Anton Lundell, 3rd 7:00 — FLA 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.20L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.18A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.08A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.08L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.05K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.04E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01B. Nadeau · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 2.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
2.85 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.64 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA62%38%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
22
Shots on goal
19
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
32
Hits
35
11
Blocked shots
12
17
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD101+240.19410—23:01
42G. ForslingD000+110.03022—22:32
5A. EkbladD022000.02100—21:11
9S. BennettC101+120.443004421:09
77N. MikkolaD101+210.04010—20:30
63B. MarchandL011+100.19002—18:54
23C. VerhaegheC000010.31500018:43
13S. ReinhartC033+110.192203318:24
15A. LundellC101040.541003817:24
27E. LuostarinenC022000.04400016:30
2J. PetryD000-110.09110—16:23
17E. RodriguesC000-100.080105015:12
26U. BalinskisD000010.00110—14:29
70J. BoqvistC000000.003125012:51
10A. GreerL011+120.20100—11:31
53J. StudnickaC000+100.00200008:44
71L. KuninC101+130.293103308:39
18N. GregorL011+110.13100—08:21
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)19172.8952.06+0.0659:32

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).