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Sabres at Canucks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
Vancouver Canucks
2
FinalTV MSG-B, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sabres led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tage Thompson's goal at 9:12 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 29% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were BUF 15, VAN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tage Thompson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Max Sasson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    T. Thompson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    M. Sasson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF172602315
VANVAN11218012232

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    R. Dahlin(3)
    R. McLeod (11), J. Quinn (10)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:36
  2. VAN
    K. Sherwood(13)PPG
    C. Garland (10), Q. Hughes (21)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:49

2nd period

  1. VAN
    M. Sasson(6)
    J. DeBrusk (6), E. Pettersson (3)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:15
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(15)
    R. Dahlin (22)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:12
  3. BUF
    Z. Benson(1)PPG
    J. Doan (13), T. Thompson (13)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:46

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:40VANArshdeep Bains · Interferencedrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 19:17BUFJack Quinn · High stickingdrawn by Tom Willander2 min
  • 19:17VANTom Willander · High stickingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 19:17BUFJack Quinn · High stickingdrawn by Tom Willander2 min

2nd

  • 14:09VANFilip Hronek · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Isak Rosen2 min
  • 15:44VANDrew O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 15:44BUFZach Benson · Roughingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 19:13BUFJordan Greenway · Trippingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

3rd

  • 6:31BUFBeck Malenstyn · Slashingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalBUF goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Tage Thompson, 2nd 9:12 — BUF 29% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Sasson · Missed · xG 0.33J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.23M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.21M. Sasson · Goal · xG 0.18B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.15L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.15D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.14J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.14A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.13C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.08A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Bains · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03T. Willander · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02T. Willander · Missed · xG 0.02D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bains · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.00J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 3.3 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsVAN
1.63 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF21%79%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsVAN
15
Shots on goal
32
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/2
Power play
1/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
22
26
Blocked shots
7
17
Giveaways
14
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23M. SamuelssonD000+100.01110—26:32
26R. DahlinD112+230.11130—24:51
21C. TimminsD000000.00150—21:27
71R. McLeodC011+100.000003320:52
4B. ByramD000-100.18010—20:47
25O. PowerD000010.04030—19:46
72T. ThompsonC112+150.560202719:06
91J. DoanR011+110.09000—18:45
19P. KrebsC000+110.051105018:43
48T. KozakC000010.073506716:45
6Z. BensonL101+110.15002—16:13
12J. GreenwayL000000.10122—16:01
22J. QuinnR011+120.17014—15:39
29B. MalenstynL000-100.00412—12:48
63I. RosenR000000.03000—08:42
44J. DunneC000-100.0000010006:21
52T. KuntarC000-100.00100005:12
78J. BrysonD000000.00010—05:02
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)32302.9383.30+1.3059:56

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).