Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Gallagher's goal at 4:37 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 29, PIT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jacob Fowler stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Fowler (36 saves, .947), 2. Oliver Kapanen (1 G), 3. Bryan Rust (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Fowler36 saves, .947

- ★★O. Kapanen1 G

- ★★★B. Rust1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-02:54
2nd period
2-04:37
3-010:18
3rd period
3-10:44
4-10:59
4-215:07
Penalties
1st
- 9:16
Alexandre Carrier · Holdingdrawn by Justin Brazeau2 min
- 13:48
Justin Brazeau · Holdingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
2nd
- 4:58
Noah Dobson · Slashingdrawn by Rutger McGroarty2 min
- 9:29
Ville Koivunen · Trippingdrawn by Adam Engstrom2 min
- 10:32
Jared Davidson · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
3rd
- 2:15
Danton Heinen · Slashingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
- 4:11
Ivan Demidov · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
- 5:46
Alexandre Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Ben Kindel2 min
- 14:50
Adam Engstrom · Holdingdrawn by Rutger McGroarty2 min
- 19:41
Kris Letang · Hookingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brendan Gallagher, 2nd 4:37 — 64% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.44 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.2
- 2.23 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.2
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 1 G3.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 4.02
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 1/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 12
- Hits
- 25
- 24
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 12
- Giveaways
- 14
- 1
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-1
4@
2this game
0@
4Final
3@
4SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
