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Canadiens at Penguins
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV SN-PIT, TSN2·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Gallagher's goal at 4:37 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 29, PIT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jacob Fowler stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Fowler (36 saves, .947), 2. Oliver Kapanen (1 G), 3. Bryan Rust (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Fowler36 saves, .947
  2. ★★
    MTL
    O. Kapanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1921119429
PITPIT04016218238

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:54

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:37
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki (26), L. Hutson (19)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    10:18

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby (14), T. Novak (10)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:44
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-1
    0:59
  3. PIT
    K. Letang (12), B. Rust (14)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:07

Penalties

MTL 12 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:16MTLAlexandre Carrier · Holdingdrawn by Justin Brazeau2 min
  • 13:48PITJustin Brazeau · Holdingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min

2nd

  • 4:58MTLNoah Dobson · Slashingdrawn by Rutger McGroarty2 min
  • 9:29PITVille Koivunen · Trippingdrawn by Adam Engstrom2 min
  • 10:32MTLJared Davidson · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

3rd

  • 2:15PITDanton Heinen · Slashingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 4:11MTLIvan Demidov · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
  • 5:46MTLAlexandre Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Ben Kindel2 min
  • 14:50MTLAdam Engstrom · Holdingdrawn by Rutger McGroarty2 min
  • 19:41PITKris Letang · Hookingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalMTL goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Brendan Gallagher, 2nd 4:37 — MTL 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.33A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.22S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.19J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.18A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.17B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.17T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.15S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.14B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.12B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.10T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.10K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.09A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.08B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08R. McGroarty · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.07R. McGroarty · On goal · xG 0.07R. McGroarty · Missed · xG 0.07N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.04B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.04T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01R. McGroarty · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 4.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsPIT
2.44 G
All situations
2 G4.2
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.21 G
Power play
1 G3.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL26%74%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 4.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsPIT
29
Shots on goal
38
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
25
24
Blocked shots
19
12
Giveaways
14
1
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000-120.12050—25:47
14N. SuzukiC011-140.500202123:02
48L. HutsonD022+320.04040—22:15
45A. CarrierD000-100.02014—21:40
53N. DobsonD000+320.07042—21:38
91O. KapanenC101+140.340206419:03
13C. CaufieldR101-140.32110—18:12
20J. SlafkovskýL022+200.001005018:06
17J. AndersonR000+120.0523010016:29
76Z. BolducR000-130.2820010016:26
47J. StrubleD000000.03400—13:20
93I. DemidovR011+100.00002—12:43
85A. TexierL101+110.15000—12:32
90J. VelenoC000+100.000003812:20
42A. EngstromD000000.00002—11:30
11B. GallagherR101+120.140003309:57
62O. BeckC000+120.232105709:08
49J. DavidsonC000010.13012005:44
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Fowler(W)38362.9474.15+2.1559:51

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).