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Bruins at Blues
NHL

Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Boston Bruins
▸5
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV FDSNMW, NESN·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Kastelic's goal at 8:01 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were BOS 31, STL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Joel Hofer stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Kastelic (2 G), 2. Robert Thomas (2 G), 3. Fraser Minten (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    M. Kastelic2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    F. Minten2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS01121337531
STLSTL11003113226

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(5)PPG
    P. Buchnevich (10), J. Faulk (9)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:27

2nd period

  1. BOS
    F. Minten(5)
    M. Khusnutdinov (4), D. Pastrnak (19)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:48
  2. BOS
    M. Kastelic(5)
    S. Kuraly (5), V. Soderstrom (1)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:34

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(6)
    P. Buchnevich (11)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:51
  2. BOS
    M. Kastelic(6)
    S. Kuraly (6), N. Zadorov (9)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-2
    8:01
  3. BOS
    F. Minten(6)
    D. Pastrnak (20), A. Peeke (5)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:33
  4. BOS
    P. Zacha(8)EN
    E. Lindholm (14), D. Pastrnak (21)
    wristxG 0.72win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    18:19

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:54BOSPavel Zacha · Slashingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 6:59STLLogan Mailloux · Roughingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 6:59BOSCasey Mittelstadt · Roughingdrawn by Logan Mailloux2 min
  • 8:25BOSHampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 12:23STLLogan Mailloux · Interferencedrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 19:55STLNick Bjugstad · High stickingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalBOS goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Kastelic, 3rd 8:01 — BOS 48% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.33P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.23J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.18P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.18J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.16P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.14M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.13M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.10J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.10N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.09R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.08P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.07P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kaskimaki · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kaskimaki · On goal · xG 0.01D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.01L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.01D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kaskimaki · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kaskimaki · Missed · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsSTL
4.84 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.74 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS61%39%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsSTL
31
Shots on goal
26
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
30
21
Blocked shots
20
16
Giveaways
14
12
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91N. ZadorovD011+310.36340—24:08
27H. LindholmD000+220.04022—22:16
26A. PeekeD011+130.05020—20:06
6M. LohreiD000+110.05120—18:31
45J. AspirotD000000.02110—17:52
52S. KuralyC022+220.010104716:00
18P. ZachaC101+161.120024515:55
39M. GeekieC000000.2100010015:54
93F. MintenC202+140.511101115:51
88D. PastrnakR033+230.97010—15:36
84T. JeannotL000+200.00900—15:00
47M. KastelicC202+230.673306314:54
92M. KhusnutdinovC011+110.21010014:31
28E. LindholmC011+110.201103814:29
29V. SoderstromD011+110.03000—13:44
11C. MittelstadtC000000.00002013:24
21A. SteevesC000000.21710013:13
71V. ArvidssonL000030.12010—13:03
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)26242.9232.50+0.5060:00

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).