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Oilers at Capitals
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
4
Washington Capitals
▸7
FinalTV TNT, HBO MAX·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Edmonton Oilers 7-4. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Leonard's goal at 11:49 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.8, WSH 4.0; shots on goal were EDM 30, WSH 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 2.4 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 26 of 30 (.867). Three stars: 1. Ryan Leonard (2 G), 2. Darnell Nurse (2 G), 3. Connor McMichael (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    R. Leonard2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    D. Nurse2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. McMichael3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2905216430
WSHWSH3111536722

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Protas(6)
    J. Carlson (11), J. Sourdif (1)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:17
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(7)
    J. Chychrun (11), M. Roy (3)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:04
  3. EDM
    D. Nurse(4)
    C. McDavid (22), L. Draisaitl (12)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:05
  4. WSH
    R. Leonard(4)
    C. McMichael (6), J. Carlson (12)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:34
  5. EDM
    D. Nurse(5)
    Z. Hyman (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:17

2nd period

  1. WSH
    R. Leonard(5)
    C. McMichael (7)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    11:49

3rd period

  1. EDM
    D. Tomasek(2)
    A. Mangiapane (4), M. Janmark (1)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    2:41
  2. WSH
    A. Beauvillier(4)
    D. Strome (12), J. Chychrun (12)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    6:37
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(14)PPG
    C. McDavid (23), E. Bouchard (14)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-5
    7:47
  4. WSH
    T. Wilson(10)EN
    C. McMichael (8), J. Carlson (13)
    snapxG 0.51win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-6
    18:59
  5. WSH
    T. Wilson(11)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.90Video
    4-7
    19:27

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:19WSHTom Wilson · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

2nd

  • 14:11WSHJustin Sourdif · Holdingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min

3rd

  • 6:53WSHJohn Carlson · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 11:39EDMMattias Ekholm · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalEDM goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Leonard, 2nd 11:49 — WSH 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.90T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.51A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.31R. Leonard · Goal · xG 0.21S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.19A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.17R. Leonard · Goal · xG 0.16S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.15E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.15B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.12J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.12M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.09A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.09J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.08A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.08J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.06C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.04S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.03S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH7 G · 4.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWSH
3.84 G
All situations
5 G4.0
3.13 G
Even strength
5 G2.5
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM69%31%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.79 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWSH
30
Shots on goal
22
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
16
6
Blocked shots
25
11
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD011030.22000—25:59
97C. McDavidC022-220.621006324:02
29L. DraisaitlC112-330.820104623:26
28J. RoslovicC000-300.001006322:50
14M. EkholmD000-220.41012—22:18
25D. NurseD202+140.12020—21:47
96J. WalmanD000-210.03000—21:39
18Z. HymanL011-310.02300—20:40
92V. PodkolzinR000000.1500010016:42
19A. HenriqueC000010.071204614:55
10T. FredericC000060.274005014:40
22M. SavoieC000-110.34000014:20
88A. MangiapaneL011-130.16000—13:02
27B. KulakD000-300.00000—12:48
49T. EmbersonD000-110.01100—09:52
86D. TomasekR101020.350005609:46
13M. JanmarkC011-100.23000009:34
75A. RegulaD000-100.00000—01:33
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)20155.7502.58-2.4258:07

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).