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Islanders at Golden Knights
NHL

New York Islanders at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Final/OTTV MSGSN, SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in overtime, Jean-Gabriel Pageau scoring at 3:02. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 3:02 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.8 to 3.0; shots on goal were NYI 24, VGK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Akira Schmid stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G), 2. Reilly Smith (1 G), 3. Tomas Hertl (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Pageau1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI260101513424
VGKVGK010182803329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    E. Heineman(7)
    B. Horvat (9), T. DeAngelo (5)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:03
  2. NYI
    M. Schaefer(6)PPG
    J. Drouin (10), B. Horvat (10)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:59

2nd period

  1. VGK
    S. Theodore(1)
    K. Kolesar (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:56

3rd period

  1. VGK
    T. Hertl(7)
    J. Lauzon (4), J. Eichel (15)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:23
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(2)
    B. Saad (3), B. Howden (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +32 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:45
  3. NYI
    M. Barzal(5)
    M. Schaefer (8), J. Drouin (11)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +40 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:23

Overtime

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(6)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:02

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·VGK 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:48NYISimon Holmstrom · Holdingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 17:19VGKCole Reinhardt · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min

2nd

  • 1:51VGKNoah Hanifin · Holdingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 4:25NYIserved by Calum Ritchie · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:56VGKJeremy Lauzon · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:48NYIAdam Pelech · Interferencedrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 15:01VGKMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

3rd

  • 5:14VGKJeremy Lauzon · Trippingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 10:45NYIserved by Calum Ritchie · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

OT

  • 2:54NYIserved by Calum Ritchie · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalNYI goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, OT 3:02 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.33B. Bowman · Missed · xG 0.27T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.26M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.23B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.20S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.20P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.19C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.18S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.18T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.18B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.17R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.16B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.16P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.16S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.15T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.15N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.15B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.14J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 4.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsVGK
3.04 G
All situations
3 G4.8
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.81 G
Power play
0 G2.0
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI27%73%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 4.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsVGK
24
Shots on goal
29
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/5
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
9
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD112040.25220—25:59
13M. BarzalC101+150.630206324:27
6R. PulockD000-100.02020—22:50
14B. HorvatC022020.400205022:19
29J. DrouinL022+110.290005021:10
28A. RomanovD000000.01120—20:37
3A. PelechD000020.16042—19:47
21K. PalmieriC000-120.23000019:20
10S. HolmstromR000010.14002—19:09
51E. HeinemanL101-130.19200—18:03
77T. DeAngeloD011000.06100—15:38
44J. PageauC101010.190006114:57
27A. LeeL000+120.261005014:11
34A. BoqvistD000000.00000—11:15
64C. RitchieC000010.130005009:15
11A. DuclairL000+100.00000—09:08
7M. TsyplakovR000-100.00100—07:30
53C. CizikasC000-100.0010010006:47
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)29263.8974.77+1.7761:46

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).