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Oilers at Blue Jackets
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-4. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Denton Mateychuk's goal at 10:19 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.1 to 3.1; shots on goal were EDM 29, CBJ 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 0.9 goals below expected; Jet Greaves stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathieu Olivier (2 G, 1 A), 2. Charlie Coyle (1 G, 2 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    M. Olivier2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    C. Coyle1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM04212213429
CBJCBJ1631514525

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:36

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.33win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:44
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:09
  3. EDM
    slapxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:49
  4. CBJ
    snapxG 0.22win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:19
  5. CBJ
    wristxG 0.23win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:20

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.19win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-5
    7:30
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.13win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-5
    7:57
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-5
    11:27

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:53EDMJack Roslovic · Trippingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 17:01CBJIsac Lundeström · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 1:30CBJMathieu Olivier · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Savoie2 min
  • 14:11EDMAndrew Mangiapane · Roughingdrawn by Dmitri Voronkov2 min
  • 14:11CBJDmitri Voronkov · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalEDM goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Denton Mateychuk, 2nd 10:19 — CBJ 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.41C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.33C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.32L. Del Bel Belluz · On goal · xG 0.25A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.23D. Mateychuk · Goal · xG 0.22M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.19I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.19M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.19D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.19C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.15A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.14M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.13I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.11C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.11D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.10K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.10D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.09L. Del Bel Belluz · On goal · xG 0.07D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.07D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.06D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.06L. Del Bel Belluz · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.00I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 4.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCBJ
3.14 G
All situations
5 G4.1
2.14 G
Even strength
5 G3.4
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM37%63%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCBJ
29
Shots on goal
25
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
12
11
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD033+240.40010—24:59
29L. DraisaitlC202+240.640103324:25
97C. McDavidC022030.590105024:18
14M. EkholmD000+220.23120—21:26
96J. WalmanD000-210.03010—20:29
28J. RoslovicC011+120.34002020:21
25D. NurseD000-120.07010—20:09
22M. SavoieC101030.24000019:44
19A. HenriqueC000030.210106017:31
27B. KulakD000-220.07100—16:09
92V. PodkolzinR101+110.13300—15:24
75A. RegulaD000-100.00110—13:49
88A. MangiapaneL000-410.10002—11:18
48N. PhilpC000000.002003310:43
13M. JanmarkC000000.000005009:48
20C. LazarC000000.054005009:34
10T. FredericC000-210.00110009:21
86D. TomasekR000-100.032103308:34
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(L)25205.8004.13-0.8757:58

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).