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Panthers at Golden Knights
NHL

Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV SCRIPPS, TVAS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 10:54 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were FLA 20, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Carl Lindbom stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G), 3. Ivan Barbashev (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1101911320
VGKVGK01307212232

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    J. Boqvist(2)
    D. Sebrango (1), J. Petry (5)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:47

2nd period

  1. FLA
    B. Marchand(11)
    G. Forsling (7), D. Sebrango (2)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:54

3rd period

  1. VGK
    T. Hertl(6)
    S. Theodore (6)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:25
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(8)PPG
    S. Jones (7), B. Marchand (7)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:54
  3. VGK
    I. Barbashev(7)
    B. McNabb (1), M. Marner (15)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:04

Penalties

FLA 13 PIM·VGK 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:16FLADonovan Sebrango · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min
  • 2:16VGKJeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Donovan Sebrango5 min

2nd

  • 3:41VGKCole Reinhardt · Interferencedrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 5:33FLAAaron Ekblad · Interferencedrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 6:23FLANiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 14:59VGKZach Whitecloud · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 19:02FLANiko Mikkola · Roughingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 19:02VGKBrett Howden · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min

3rd

  • 2:26FLAJeff Petry · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Holtz2 min
  • 4:09VGKAlexander Holtz · High stickingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalFLA goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, 2nd 10:54 — FLA 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.34T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.23B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.21P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.18T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.16T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.16B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.12P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.09S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.08B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.08S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.01C. Reinhardt · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.00P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.00J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 2.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsVGK
1.93 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA28%72%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsVGK
20
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
13
21
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD011000.02010—24:14
3S. JonesD011-100.06020—23:23
5A. EkbladD000-110.02202—21:44
15A. LundellC000+130.150005320:53
77N. MikkolaD000030.10314—20:26
13S. ReinhartC101-220.32100019:04
17E. RodriguesC000-240.230105018:53
63B. MarchandL112+110.18000—18:52
27E. LuostarinenC000+110.30110016:53
23C. VerhaegheC000-210.0410010015:56
2J. PetryD011000.02032—14:04
11M. SamoskevichR000+110.03320—13:57
9S. BennettC000+110.340006413:26
70J. BoqvistC101+110.08200012:47
6D. SebrangoD022+200.00215—12:18
10A. GreerL000010.04200—08:57
79C. SchwindtR000000.001003308:12
71L. KuninC000000.00310008:01
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)32302.9382.91+0.9160:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).