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Seattle Kraken at Washington Capitals

FinalTV KHN/Prime, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Seattle Kraken 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Leonard's goal at 0:25 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were SEA 19, WSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Logan Thompson stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Chychrun (1 G), 2. Ryan Leonard (1 G), 3. Logan Thompson (18 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Chychrun1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    R. Leonard1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    L. Thompson18 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0603110119
WSHWSH11121617434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:30

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:25
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.09win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:33

3rd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.11win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:50
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.69Video
    1-4
    19:10

Penalties

SEA 4 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:50SEARyan Lindgren · Trippingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 10:09SEAJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min

3rd

  • 1:24WSHEthen Frank · Hookingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 6:45WSHBrandon Duhaime · Trippingdrawn by Jani Nyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalSEA goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Leonard, 2nd 0:25 — WSH 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.69N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.24C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.18A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.17R. Leonard · Goal · xG 0.14D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.13C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.12E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.11J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.07C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.06R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.02R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 3.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsWSH
1.71 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA30%70%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsWSH
19
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD000-310.05010—22:56
9C. StephensonC000-210.030105322:11
7J. EberleR000-130.2210010021:10
6A. LarssonD000-200.00010—19:57
10M. BeniersC000-120.241103819:48
17J. SchwartzL101-140.15312—19:47
24J. OleksiakD000+100.00050—19:31
77B. CattonC000+130.14100018:13
8C. FleuryD000010.06200—18:04
28J. MahuraD000+100.03020—17:36
20E. TolvanenR000-200.00110—16:50
55R. LindgrenD000000.01102—15:36
51S. WrightC000000.001204014:07
38J. NymanR000010.40000—12:29
26R. WintertonC000020.15010012:03
59B. MeyersC011000.041106410:44
12T. KartyeL000-100.00000—10:06
15J. HaydenC000-110.1912010008:35
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)33303.9092.79-0.2157:34

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).