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Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV FDSNW, TVAS·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 11:47 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.7 to 3.1; shots on goal were LAK 32, WPG 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 2. Adrian Kempe (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK09212011232
WPGWPG1141815327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:48

2nd period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:50
  2. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:12
  3. WPG
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:57

3rd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:47

Penalties

LAK 13 PIM·WPG 15 PIM

1st

  • 3:25LAKQuinton Byfield · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 9:26LAKJeff Malott · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 9:26WPGLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Jeff Malott5 min
  • 10:17LAKBrian Dumoulin · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 13:10LAKAlex Laferriere · High stickingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

2nd

  • 9:30WPGDylan DeMelo · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 16:52WPGKyle Connor · Trippingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min

3rd

  • 0:31WPGJosh Morrissey · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 1:48LAKJoel Armia · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 16:30WPGNeal Pionk · Roughingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
  • 19:42WPGTanner Pearson · Trippingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalLAK goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 3rd 11:47 — WPG 52% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.56N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.26G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.19G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.13A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11N. Chibrikov · Missed · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.06N. Chibrikov · Missed · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.01
WPG3 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsWPG
3.72 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
1.60 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.60 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK67%33%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/5
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
15
23
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
28
19
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011+220.02030—22:10
9A. KempeR112+260.75410—21:41
11A. KopitarC011+130.470107020:53
96A. KuzmenkoL011+130.82100—20:05
55Q. ByfieldR000-210.153023319:26
44M. AndersonD101+120.06010—18:44
24P. DanaultC000000.001004218:38
92B. ClarkeD000010.05000—18:21
22K. FialaL000-150.76010—18:06
6J. EdmundsonD000010.02100—16:57
2B. DumoulinD000-100.00102—15:45
5C. CeciD000-100.01120—15:09
12T. MooreL000-120.03010—14:52
37W. FoegeleL000-110.00210—13:57
14A. LaferriereR000030.133026713:13
40J. ArmiaR000020.36202—13:08
39J. MalottL000000.0630510006:37
15A. TurcotteC000000.001008006:34
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)27243.8892.57-0.4358:21

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).