Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-1. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Nazar's goal at 18:55 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 50% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.7 to 3.1; shots on goal were PIT 29, CHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Mikheyev (2 G), 2. Spencer Knight (28 saves, .966), 3. Frank Nazar (1 G).
Three stars
- ★I. Mikheyev2 G

- ★★S. Knight28 saves, .966

- ★★★F. Nazar1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-118:55
3rd period
0-29:40
1-214:36
1-319:04
Penalties
2nd
- 17:01
Joseph Veleno · Hookingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
- 19:14
Oliver Moore · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
3rd
- 1:06
Matt Grzelcyk · Slashingdrawn by Frank Nazar2 min
- 14:20
Tyler Bertuzzi · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Frank Nazar, 2nd 18:55 — 50% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.11 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.7
- 2.30 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.2
- 0.91 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 2.70
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 27
- Hits
- 19
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 22
- Giveaways
- 21
- 9
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
3this game
0@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
