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Bruins at Sabres
NHL

Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Boston Bruins
3
Buffalo Sabres
▸6
FinalTV MSG-B, NESN·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Boston Bruins 6-3. The Sabres came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Zucker's goal at 1:59 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were BOS 20, BUF 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.7 goals below expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tage Thompson (3 G), 2. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Tuch (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    T. Thompson3 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    A. Tuch1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS281705320
BUFBUF011313313637

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    E. Lindholm(16)
    D. Pastrnak (55), H. Jokiharju (5)
    backhandxG 0.45win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:37
  2. BOS
    M. Geekie(29)
    D. Pastrnak (56)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:27

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(41)
    Z. Benson (17), B. Byram (29)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:35
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(33)
    R. Dahlin (47), J. Peterka (38)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:49
  3. BOS
    C. Mittelstadt(14)PPG
    D. Pastrnak (57), M. Lohrei (28)
    wristxG 0.45win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:38
  4. BUF
    R. Dahlin(15)
    A. Tuch (29), P. Krebs (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:31

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Zucker(21)
    B. Byram (30), P. Krebs (17)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:59
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(42)
    J.Kulich (8), O. Power (33)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    5:51
  3. BUF
    T. Thompson(43)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.45Video
    3-6
    19:14

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·BUF 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:03BOSJohn Beecher · Hookingdrawn by Noah Ostlund2 min
  • 15:12BOSNikita Zadorov · Slashingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min

2nd

  • 15:48BUFJJ Peterka · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Zucker, 3rd 1:59 — BUF 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.50T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.44T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.41T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.41J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.31R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.17J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.17J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.15T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.15J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.14A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.14J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ostlund · Missed · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.09P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.09R. Dahlin · Goal · xG 0.08J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.07A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.06Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.05P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF6 G · 4.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
2.23 G
All situations
5 G4.7
1.52 G
Even strength
5 G2.7
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS31%69%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
20
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
13
17
Blocked shots
8
13
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6M. LohreiD011-300.00000—20:47
91N. ZadorovD000+100.00432—20:38
39M. GeekieC101-140.391005020:35
20H. JokiharjuD011+100.00230—20:03
52A. PeekeD000-100.04330—19:39
88D. PastrnakR033020.13100—19:04
29P. WotherspoonD000-220.03110—19:04
11C. MittelstadtC101-210.450004317:57
79M. CallahanD000-310.01010—17:30
28E. LindholmC101050.660005817:27
18P. ZachaC000-200.192002916:50
95V. LettieriC000030.13010015:02
93F. MintenC000-200.001103314:22
92M. KhusnutdinovC000-110.0220010013:20
23F. LysellR000-310.13000—12:23
94J. LaukoC000-100.00230011:48
45C. KoepkeL000-100.00200—11:44
19J. BeecherC000-100.012126310:05
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)36315.8613.34-1.6657:42

Season series

BUF leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).