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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Kane's goal at 9:05 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 33, DET 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.4 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (1 G), 2. Michael Rasmussen (1 G), 3. Brent Burns (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    P. Kane1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Rasmussen1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Burns1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR07216110333
DETDET272717521

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    B. Chiarot(4)
    A. DeBrincat (30), D. Larkin (35)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:03
  2. DET
    M. Kasper(16)
    E. Soderblom (7), L. Raymond (48)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:29

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(15)
    S. Jarvis (31)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:57
  2. DET
    P. Kane(20)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:05
  3. DET
    M. Rasmussen(11)
    T. Motte (5)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    9:26
  4. CAR
    E. Robinson(14)
    J. Robidas (1), J. Slavin (19)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:36

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(6)
    J. Roslovic (16), J. Slavin (20)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-4
    12:44
  2. DET
    A. DeBrincat(34)EN
    D. Larkin (36)
    wristxG 0.60win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:59

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:57CARSean Walker · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

2nd

  • 6:02DETAlbert Johansson · High stickingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 16:50CARJack Roslovic · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

3rd

  • 2:10DETBen Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Patrick Kane, 2nd 9:05 — DET 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.60L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.46L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.23D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.17E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.17M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.17P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.13D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.11C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.11M. Kasper · Goal · xG 0.10L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.09B. Chiarot · Goal · xG 0.09M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.07M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.07L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.06J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.04S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.02L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.01E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.00C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.00E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.00E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.00
DET5 G · 3.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
2.73 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.83 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR52%48%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
33
Shots on goal
21
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
7
Hits
17
6
Blocked shots
25
20
Giveaways
22
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. GostisbehereD000-120.19010—23:51
8B. BurnsD101+230.06000—22:47
24S. JarvisR011-170.80100—21:58
20S. AhoC000-150.390006521:34
74J. SlavinD022010.03010—20:45
53J. BlakeR101-130.6200010019:48
5J. ChatfieldD000-200.00000—18:43
71T. HallL000030.04000—17:13
26S. WalkerD000-320.08212—16:26
22L. StankovenC000-100.02000015:43
77M. JankowskiL000-100.000206715:17
96J. RoslovicC011020.111027115:05
56S. MorrowD000020.02100—14:56
48J. MartinookL000-100.17010—14:38
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.041004312:50
50E. RobinsonL101-110.11000—09:29
27T. JostC000000.00100008:50
46J. RobidasC011010.000005708:14
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(L)20164.8002.57-1.4357:53

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).