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Canucks at Islanders
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
▸5
New York Islanders
2
FinalTV MSGSN, SN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the New York Islanders 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canucks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Forbort's goal at 19:37 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were VAN 25, NYI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kiefer Sherwood (2 G, 1 A), 2. Casey Cizikas (1 G, 1 A), 3. Thatcher Demko (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    K. Sherwood2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    T. Demko26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0531327525
NYINYI01021107228

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    K. Sherwood(16)
    Q. Hughes (52), F. Hronek (24)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:39
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(6)SHG
    J. Pageau (25)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:35
  3. NYI
    T. DeAngelo(3)
    C. Cizikas (8)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:00
  4. VAN
    A. Räty(3)
    M. Pettersson (22), K. Sherwood (15)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:59
  5. VAN
    D. Forbort(2)
    J. DeBrusk (19), P. Suter (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:37

3rd period

  1. VAN
    T. Blueger(8)
    C. Garland (25), D. O'Connor (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    1:05
  2. VAN
    K. Sherwood(17)EN
    P. Suter (17), D. O'Connor (14)
    wristxG 0.75Video
    5-2
    18:08

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:35NYIBo Horvat · Trippingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 7:28NYIAnthony Duclair · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 7:28VANMarcus Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

3rd

  • 6:20VANQuinn Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 15:19VANPius Suter · Hookingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalVAN goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Derek Forbort, 2nd 19:37 — VAN 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.23S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.20A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.20T. DeAngelo · Goal · xG 0.17A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.13P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.09S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.09M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.06P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.06P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.04P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.04P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.00A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.00M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsNYI
3.24 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN45%55%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsNYI
25
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
18
18
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011000.00010—25:42
43Q. HughesD011-110.05032—24:03
57T. MyersD000+410.03010—22:39
24P. SuterC022+100.141024718:55
29M. PetterssonD011+320.04122—18:45
6B. BoeserR000-120.10000—17:43
8C. GarlandR011030.16020—16:36
27D. ForbortD101+110.06000—16:04
44K. SherwoodL213+341.01410—15:43
18D. O'ConnorL022+200.14000—15:41
74J. DeBruskL011+120.23010—15:16
53T. BluegerC101+120.080005415:05
81D. JoshuaC000+110.36700012:41
94L. KarlssonC000030.35400012:25
25E. PetterssonD000000.05000—12:23
23J. LekkerimäkiR000-100.10200—12:00
88N. AmanC000000.000104211:31
54A. RätyC101+230.342005010:48
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)28262.9292.77+0.7760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).