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Red Wings at Avalanche
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV FDSNDET, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Valeri Nichushkin's goal at 12:52 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals were close — DET 3.0, COL 3.3; shots on goal were DET 23, COL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.6 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Devon Toews (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jonathan Drouin (2 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    D. Toews1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Drouin2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET180817223
COLCOL2911128528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    J. Compher(8)PPG
    M. Rasmussen (8), V. Tarasenko (20)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:00
  2. COL
    C. Makar(27)
    D. Toews (28)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:44
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(19)
    J. Drouin (24), N. MacKinnon (78)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:52

2nd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(8)PPG
    M. Necas (52), B. Nelson (27)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:39

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(29)PPG
    J. Drouin (25), M. Necas (53)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    8:34
  2. DET
    A. Watson(2)
    J. Compher (20), S. Edvinsson (22)
    snapxG 0.34Video
    2-4
    16:53
  3. COL
    L. O'Connor(8)EN
    D. Toews (29)
    wristxG 0.82Video
    2-5
    17:56

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:20COLSam Malinski · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 3:06DETCraig Smith · High stickingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 6:31COLNathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

3rd

  • 6:41DETMoritz Seider · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDET goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Valeri Nichushkin, 1st 12:52 — COL 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.82V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.29R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.23M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.17J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.14P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.08R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.07C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 3.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCOL
3.02 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.81 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET57%43%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCOL
23
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
18
21
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-220.04232—25:11
77S. EdvinssonD011010.01010—21:56
71D. LarkinC000-220.240005021:22
8B. ChiarotD000-100.05210—21:00
3J. HollD000000.00020—19:53
23L. RaymondL000-240.48100—19:02
27M. RasmussenC011-210.15130017:57
37J. CompherL112+130.783003917:51
48J. BerggrenR000+100.32120—15:54
20A. JohanssonD000000.00410—15:21
11V. TarasenkoR011020.16200—15:17
93A. DeBrincatR000-220.19110—15:06
88P. KaneR000-220.13000—15:02
92M. KasperC000-110.014205413:51
84W. LagessonD000010.01230—12:13
15C. SmithC000000.0910210011:07
14T. MotteC000000.020104009:54
24A. WatsonL101+120.35210—09:34
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)27234.8522.43-1.5759:03

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).