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Red Wings at Golden Knights
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-3. The Red Wings scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 7:07 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 31, VGK 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (3 G), 2. Jack Eichel (1 G, 3 A), 3. Mark Stone (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    T. Hertl3 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1131919331
VGKVGK31628112636

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    L. Raymond(24)PPG
    D. Larkin (33), P. Kane (30)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:47
  2. VGK
    T. Hertl(28)PPG
    M. Stone (42), J. Eichel (62)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:47
  3. VGK
    T. Hertl(29)
    B. McNabb (13), K. Korczak (8)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:32
  4. VGK
    N. Roy(10)
    I. Barbashev (24), J. Eichel (63)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:57

2nd period

  1. DET
    P. Kane(18)PPG
    M. Seider (32), D. Larkin (34)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:49
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(18)
    A. Pietrangelo (26), N. Hanifin (26)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    7:07
  3. VGK
    T. Hertl(30)PPG
    M. Stone (43), J. Eichel (64)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-5
    8:02

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(32)
    P. Kane (31), S. Edvinsson (19)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-5
    9:36
  2. VGK
    J. Eichel(22)EN
    I. Barbashev (25)
    backhandxG 0.50Video
    3-6
    17:59

Penalties

DET 14 PIM·VGK 14 PIM

1st

  • 3:58VGKMark Stone · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 11:13DETJonatan Berggren · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min

2nd

  • 0:45VGKBrett Howden · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 7:16DETMoritz Seider · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

3rd

  • 18:56VGKZach Whitecloud · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:56DETBen Chiarot · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalDET goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, 2nd 7:07 — VGK 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.50B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.32M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.26T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.23K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.20T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.16T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.15N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.14N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.14R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.13B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.12P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.12M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.10N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.08N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.06R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.06N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.04B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 3.9 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsVGK
2.33 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.52 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET32%68%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsVGK
31
Shots on goal
36
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/2
Power play
2/2
14
Penalty minutes
14
19
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
18
14
Giveaways
20
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77S. EdvinssonD011-110.01030—24:27
3J. HollD000000.00110—21:28
8B. ChiarotD000-240.050010—20:23
53M. SeiderD011-230.12012—19:55
71D. LarkinC022-130.210106019:26
93A. DeBrincatR101+130.45000—19:12
20A. JohanssonD000020.04010—18:30
88P. KaneR123+140.24000—18:21
23L. RaymondL101-110.16000—18:11
92M. KasperC000000.033204617:05
11V. TarasenkoR000-320.20300—16:14
27M. RasmussenC000-130.33010015:28
37J. CompherL000-300.001005314:54
15C. SmithC000020.22350014:44
84W. LagessonD000000.00000—11:38
48J. BerggrenR000-320.07202—11:11
14T. MotteC000000.002002510:29
24A. WatsonL000-110.174005008:53
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)35305.8573.37-1.6358:11

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).