Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 18:31 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 21, TBL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ivan Fedotov stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Ivan Fedotov (21 saves, .955), 3. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Vasilevskiy21 saves, 1.000

- ★★I. Fedotov21 saves, .955

- ★★★N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
2 goals1st period
0-118:31
3rd period
0-218:30
Penalties
1st
- 9:46
Yanni Gourde · Hookingdrawn by Cam York2 min
- 17:41
Jamie Drysdale · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
- 17:52
Jake Guentzel · Abuse of officials2 min
2nd
- 3:33
served by M. Michkov · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 5:32
Brandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
- 7:18
Noah Cates · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 7:18
Anthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
- 11:38
Emil Lilleberg · High sticking double minordrawn by Olle Lycksell4 min
3rd
- 18:13
Sean Couturier · High sticking double minordrawn by Erik Cernak4 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 1st 18:31 — 53% → 65%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.90 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.9
- 1.40 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.8
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.44
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/5
- Power play
- 1/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 41
- Hits
- 19
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 10
- Giveaways
- 18
- 2
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
PHI leads 2-1
2@
1SOFinal
3@
4SOFinal
0@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
