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Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV FDSNSUN, NBCSP·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 18:31 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 21, TBL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ivan Fedotov stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Ivan Fedotov (21 saves, .955), 3. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy21 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PHI
    I. Fedotov21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI090507021
TBLTBL1110418223

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:31

3rd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.47win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-2
    18:30

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·TBL 12 PIM

1st

  • 9:46TBLYanni Gourde · Hookingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 17:41PHIJamie Drysdale · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 17:52TBLJake Guentzel · Abuse of officials2 min

2nd

  • 3:33PHIserved by M. Michkov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 5:32TBLBrandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 7:18PHINoah Cates · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 7:18TBLAnthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 11:38TBLEmil Lilleberg · High sticking double minordrawn by Olle Lycksell4 min

3rd

  • 18:13PHISean Couturier · High sticking double minordrawn by Erik Cernak4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalPHI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 1st 18:31 — TBL 53% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.47N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.24N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.15B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.14Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.13V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.11B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.07L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.00J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 2.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsTBL
1.90 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.40 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI40%60%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsTBL
21
Shots on goal
23
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/5
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
41
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000-110.03200—23:45
8C. YorkD000-110.03210—22:49
9J. DrysdaleD000020.06022—22:27
10B. BrinkR000010.32200—21:37
71T. FoersterR000030.23100—21:02
11T. KonecnyR000-130.172103321:00
27N. CatesL000000.001224519:49
14S. CouturierC000010.081046219:15
25R. PoehlingC000-120.202007317:43
39M. MichkovR000020.35100—16:50
74O. TippettR000010.20410—15:41
24N. SeelerD000010.10630—15:00
36E. AndraeD000010.01300—14:06
5E. ZamulaD000000.00000—13:12
15O. LycksellR000010.08100—12:14
22J. PelletierL000000.0020010006:46
18R. AbolsC000010.08400006:00
44N. DeslauriersL000000.00700—05:20
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
82I. Fedotov(L)22211.9552.45+1.4559:38

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).