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Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV Victory+, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-2. The Oilers scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Colangelo's goal at 18:26 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.6 to 2.5; shots on goal were ANA 27, EDM 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 14 of 16 (.875), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mason McTavish (2 G), 2. Jackson LaCombe (3 A), 3. Cutter Gauthier (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. McTavish2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe3 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA4111719627
EDMEDM11209114235

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:05
  2. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:57
  3. ANA
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:37
  4. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:26
  5. ANA
    snapxG 0.35win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    18:38

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-1
    13:22

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.26Video
    6-1
    3:56
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(23)PPG
    wristxG 0.16Video
    6-2
    4:44

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:21ANAFrank Vatrano · Slashingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

2nd

  • 3:10EDMJohn Klingberg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 4:24ANASam Colangelo · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 6:00EDMDarnell Nurse · Interferencedrawn by Jackson LaCombe2 min
  • 15:15ANADrew Helleson · Roughingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 15:15EDMConnor Brown · Roughingdrawn by Drew Helleson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Colangelo, 1st 18:26 — ANA 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.32C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.20R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.19R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.15C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.14M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.14E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.11J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.08M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.05M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 3.6 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
2.56 G
All situations
2 G3.6
2.16 G
Even strength
0 G3.1
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA32%68%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
27
Shots on goal
35
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
2/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
28
15
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD033+510.03220—24:11
7R. GudasD000+510.01520—22:53
65J. TroubaD000+100.00210—20:52
6B. DumoulinD000000.01120—19:25
17A. KillornL101+230.35100—18:34
11T. ZegrasC011+210.01210018:32
19T. TerryR000+120.1200010017:25
16R. StromeC101+110.140003317:14
77F. VatranoR011+140.45022—17:00
23M. McTavishC202+320.530104116:47
91L. CarlssonC112+220.100004416:34
61C. GauthierL033+330.330105013:58
43D. HellesonD000000.00132—13:49
64S. ColangeloR112+320.2110210013:23
34P. MintyukovD000+110.01400—12:55
21I. LundestromC000010.090005611:35
38J. HarkinsC000010.09100010:39
20B. LeasonR000010.02100—10:15
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)35332.9433.61+1.6159:55

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).