Bruins at Wild 0-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Boston Bruins

Minnesota Wild

▸1

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Boston Bruins 1-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frederick Gaudreau's goal at 5:01 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were BOS 28, MIN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 21 of 22 (.955); Filip Gustavsson stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Gustavsson (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Jared Spurgeon, 3. Frederick Gaudreau (1 G).

Three stars

★
F. Gustavsson28 saves, 1.000
★★
J. Spurgeon
★★★
F. Gaudreau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	08	07	013	028
MIN	05	111	06	122

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

F. Gaudreau(13)
M. Johansson (15), M. Zuccarello (25)
deflectedxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
0-1
5:01

Penalties

9 PIM·

9 PIM

1st

9:38Marcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
9:38Mark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min

2nd

6:17Yakov Trenin · Trippingdrawn by John Beecher2 min
9:46Georgii Merkulov · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
11:37John Beecher · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min

3rd

4:39Yakov Trenin · High stickingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: MIN

100%

Biggest swing: Frederick Gaudreau, 2nd 5:01 — MIN 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 1.5 xG · 33 att

←

attacks

attacks →

0 G · 2.0 xG · 42 att MIN

1 G · 1.5 xG · 33 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.00 G
All situations: 1 G1.5; 1.20 G
Even strength: 1 G0.9; 0.80 G
Power play: 0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

61%39%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 1.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

28
Shots on goal: 22; 50%
Faceoffs: 50%; 0/2
Power play: 0/2; 9
Penalty minutes: 9; 27
Hits: 22; 13
Blocked shots: 7; 17
Giveaways: 21; 5
Takeaways: 2

Box score

every player line

Boston Bruins skaters
Skater	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
88D. PastrnakR	-1	5	0.22	1	1	0	—	25:18
6M. LohreiD	-1	3	0.07	0	1	0	—	24:29
18P. ZachaC	-1	2	0.21	2	1	0	80	23:15
52A. PeekeD	-1	2	0.04	2	3	0	—	20:55
39M. GeekieC	-1	1	0.31	1	0	0	33	20:34
91N. ZadorovD	0	1	0.05	5	0	0	—	20:16
28E. LindholmC	0	3	0.29	2	1	0	54	19:55
25B. CarloD	0	3	0.07	2	1	0	—	17:54
13C. CoyleC	0	1	0.05	1	1	0	25	17:43
29P. WotherspoonD	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	15:36
14I. MitchellD	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	15:06
51M. PoitrasC	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	25	14:30
42G. MerkulovC	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	0	13:09
45C. KoepkeL	0	1	0.00	3	0	0	—	12:27
55J. BrazeauR	0	2	0.30	3	0	0	—	10:51
19J. BeecherC	0	1	0.01	0	0	2	67	09:37
47M. KastelicC	0	2	0.10	2	0	5	17	09:13
48J. VielL	0	1	0.22	1	1	0	—	06:56

Boston Bruins goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
1J. Swayman(L)	22	21	1	.955	1.47	+0.47	58:16

Season series

Tied 1-1

Feb 40@3Final
Mar 20@1this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild

2nd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score