Calgary Flames at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Coronato's goal at 16:42 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.3, WSH 2.3; shots on goal were CGY 25, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Coronato (1 G), 2. Dan Vladar (26 saves, .963), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).
Three stars
- ★M. Coronato1 G

- ★★D. Vladar26 saves, .963

- ★★★A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-011:47
2-016:42
3rd period
2-14:52
3-115:32
Penalties
2nd
- 1:11
Matt Coronato · Slashingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
- 8:42
Kevin Rooney · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
- 17:01
Tom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
- 17:01
Brayden Pachal · Slashingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
- 17:01
Connor McMichael · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
3rd
- 4:32
Jonathan Huberdeau · Slashingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
- 6:21
Matt Roy · Trippingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Matt Coronato, 1st 16:42 — 61% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.33 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.3
- 2.13 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.4
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.9
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.32
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 27
- Hits
- 20
- 29
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 14
- Giveaways
- 18
- 3
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
3@
1Final
3@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
