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Maple Leafs at Canucks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Boeser's goal at 8:56 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 58% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were TOR 28, VAN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Hronek (1 G, 1 A), 2. Elias Pettersson (1 A), 3. Morgan Rielly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    F. Hronek1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0611408128
VANVAN1110618225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:00

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:54

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(18)PPG
    F. Chytil (11), F. Hronek (15)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:56

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:56TORPhilippe Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

2nd

  • 17:50VANDrew O'Connor · High stickingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min

3rd

  • 7:43TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 16:58VANMarcus Pettersson · Slashingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalTOR goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Brock Boeser, 3rd 8:56 — VAN 58% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.68T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.43P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.28D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.24F. Hronek · Goal · xG 0.17D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.17B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.15P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.13K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.11C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.11F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.11F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.08P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.07K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.06D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.06F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.06T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.06P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.05N. Aman · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.04F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.00E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 4.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsVAN
2.11 G
All situations
2 G4.0
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR35%65%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsVAN
28
Shots on goal
25
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
95O. Ekman-LarssonD011+120.06102—23:13
44M. RiellyD101+120.13110—22:02
16M. MarnerR000+120.16100—22:01
34A. MatthewsC011040.520005621:26
23M. KniesL000010.18100—20:07
88W. NylanderR000020.20200—19:58
8C. TanevD000010.01000—19:37
91J. TavaresC000020.190106519:12
22J. McCabeD000030.03110—18:21
74B. McMannC000020.26100015:16
51P. MyersD000-110.05122—15:09
11M. DomiC000010.04000014:01
2S. BenoitD000-100.00240—13:42
67M. PaciorettyL000020.13300—12:13
29P. HolmbergR000010.022108012:00
64D. KampfC000000.012005011:28
89N. RobertsonL000020.03000—10:14
18S. LorentzC000-100.06110009:10
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(L)25232.9202.90+0.9057:37

Season series

VAN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).