Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vancouver Canucks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Boeser's goal at 8:56 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 58% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were TOR 28, VAN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Hronek (1 G, 1 A), 2. Elias Pettersson (1 A), 3. Morgan Rielly (1 G).
Three stars
- ★F. Hronek1 G, 1 A

- ★★E. Pettersson1 A

- ★★★M. Rielly1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-17:00
2nd period
1-119:54
3rd period
1-28:56
Penalties
1st
- 16:56
Philippe Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
2nd
- 17:50
Drew O'Connor · High stickingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
3rd
- 7:43
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
- 16:58
Marcus Pettersson · Slashingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brock Boeser, 3rd 8:56 — 58% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.0
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.3
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.88
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 19
- Hits
- 22
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 11
- Giveaways
- 13
- 3
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
VAN leads 2-0
3@
0Final
1@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
