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Red Wings at Stars
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV FDSNDET, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matěj Blümel's goal at 5:26 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals were close — DET 2.7, DAL 2.8; shots on goal were DET 34, DAL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.3 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (33 saves, .971), 2. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Duchene (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Duchene2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET08014112134
DALDAL3100718425

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    M. Blümel(1)
    J. Hryckowian (1), C. Blackwell (6)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:26
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(15)PPG
    M. Duchene (26), M. Heiskanen (16)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:05
  3. DAL
    M. Bourque(5)
    I. Lyubushkin (10), M. Duchene (27)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:18

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Kasper(6)
    S. Edvinsson (14), D. Larkin (22)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:01
  2. DAL
    W. Johnston(11)
    J. Robertson (27)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    14:09

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:24DALEvgenii Dadonov · Trippingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 12:43DETJonatan Berggren · Hookingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min

2nd

  • 17:25DALNils Lundkvist · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

3rd

  • 19:22DALBrendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalDET goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Matěj Blümel, 1st 5:26 — DAL 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Blümel · Goal · xG 0.31J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.29M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.21W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.16C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.15E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.15J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.15M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.13S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.13M. Blümel · On goal · xG 0.11S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.11E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.08M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.06T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bourque · Goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsDAL
2.71 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET50%50%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsDAL
34
Shots on goal
25
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
19
7
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000040.13610—22:36
77S. EdvinssonD011000.04000—21:34
20A. JohanssonD000020.11200—20:27
23L. RaymondL000+130.42100—19:31
71D. LarkinC011+130.260003518:53
8B. ChiarotD000-130.12320—18:31
93A. DeBrincatR000-220.15000—17:04
56E. GustafssonD000-120.06010—16:42
3J. HollD000-220.02110—16:07
88P. KaneR000-320.09000—15:44
92M. KasperC101+130.49100015:31
37J. CompherL000010.040005015:18
48J. BerggrenR000010.11002—14:24
27M. RasmussenC000040.2842010014:01
11V. TarasenkoR000020.23000—13:57
18A. CoppC000-200.060003613:50
90J. VelenoC000-100.114004013:13
36C. FischerR000-100.0060010012:15
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)25214.8402.75-1.2560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).