Kings at Oilers 0-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Los Angeles Kings

Edmonton Oilers

▸1

FinalTV FDSNW, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 1-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 18:37 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were LAK 30, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Stuart Skinner (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Darcy Kuemper (29 saves, .967), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G).

Three stars

★
S. Skinner30 saves, 1.000
★★
D. Kuemper29 saves, .967
★★★
C. McDavid1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
LAK	014	05	011	030
EDM	06	111	013	130

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

C. McDavid(17)
D. Nurse (14), L. Draisaitl (33)
snapxG 0.27win prob +21 ptsVideo
0-1
18:37

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

5:58Brett Kulak · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
14:40Brandt Clarke · Slashingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

2nd

8:07Tanner Jeannot · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
17:09Alex Laferriere · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
17:09Kasperi Kapanen · Roughingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: EDM

100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 18:37 — EDM 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 3.5 xG · 44 att

←

attacks

attacks →

0 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att EDM

1 G · 3.5 xG · 44 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.10 G
All situations: 1 G3.5; 1.70 G
Even strength: 1 G2.9; 0.40 G
Power play: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

34%66%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

30
Shots on goal: 30; 52%
Faceoffs: 48%; 0/1
Power play: 0/2; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 8
Hits: 15; 14
Blocked shots: 16; 11
Giveaways: 8; 4
Takeaways: 3

Box score

every player line

Los Angeles Kings skaters
Skater	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
44M. AndersonD	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	—	26:19
84V. GavrikovD	-1	2	0.04	0	3	0	—	26:04
55Q. ByfieldR	-1	2	0.38	1	1	0	33	21:25
22K. FialaL	0	4	0.49	2	2	0	—	21:24
11A. KopitarC	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	42	20:37
9A. KempeR	0	6	0.31	1	0	0	100	20:34
6J. EdmundsonD	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	19:57
37W. FoegeleL	0	5	0.20	0	1	0	—	18:34
24P. DanaultC	0	0	0.11	0	0	0	80	17:19
21J. SpenceD	-1	1	0.05	1	1	0	—	16:12
12T. MooreL	-1	2	0.18	0	1	0	—	14:40
92B. ClarkeD	0	1	0.02	0	3	2	—	14:31
15A. TurcotteC	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	0	13:09
61T. LewisC	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	100	11:26
10T. JeannotL	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	—	11:12
43J. MoverareD	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	—	10:05
14A. LaferriereR	0	1	0.07	1	0	2	—	09:52
7K. BurroughsD	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	02:49

Los Angeles Kings goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35D. Kuemper(L)	30	29	1	.967	3.08	+2.08	57:51

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

2nd period

1st

2nd

Box score