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Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NHLN, CHSN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Backlund's goal at 14:08 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 61% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 36, CHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Petr Mrazek stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Pelletier (2 G, 1 A), 2. Yegor Sharangovich (1 G, 1 A), 3. Rory Kerins (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Pelletier2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    Y. Sharangovich1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    R. Kerins2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY314212010536
CHICHI1711008225

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:14
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:38
  3. CGY
    K. Bahl (12), R. Kerins (2)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:47
  4. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    14:08

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    1:55
  2. CHI
    C. Bedard(12)PPG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:29
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-2
    13:38

Penalties

CGY 15 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:13CHIRyan Donato · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Dustin Wolf2 min

2nd

  • 10:30CGYMartin Pospisil · Boardingdrawn by Taylor Hall5 min
  • 10:30CGYMartin Pospisil · Game misconduct10 min
  • 19:17CHILukas Reichel · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min

3rd

  • 6:16CHILouis Crevier · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCGY goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Mikael Backlund, 1st 14:08 — CGY 61% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.18C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.18T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.13T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.11N. Allan · Missed · xG 0.11C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.10T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.09I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.08I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.08C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.07I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.06I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.06L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.05N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.05C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.05F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.04L. Crevier · Goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.03W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Allan · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.02N. Allan · On goal · xG 0.02N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 2.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCHI
2.75 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY60%40%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCHI
36
Shots on goal
25
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
1/2
15
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
29
15
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000+110.01010—23:41
4R. AnderssonD000+120.17010—22:14
7K. BahlD011+110.05120—20:23
22J. PelletierL213+340.41310—18:26
44J. HanleyD000020.02110—18:25
91N. KadriC000040.480003118:07
10J. HuberdeauL011+100.00030—18:06
20B. ColemanL011+160.394003317:17
11M. BacklundC101+120.270006416:37
17Y. SharangovichC112+420.210005016:36
94B. PachalD011+310.03150—16:14
27M. CoronatoR011+140.11100—15:31
86R. KerinsC022+320.11010014:57
24J. BeanD101+210.17000—13:50
21K. RooneyC000-120.074003812:33
70R. LombergL000-110.10400—11:13
71W. DuehrR000-110.06100—11:13
76M. PospisilC000000.00201510010:02
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(W)25232.9202.11+0.1159:35

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).