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Blackhawks at Sabres
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Buffalo Sabres
▸6
FinalTV ESPN2, SN·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 12:23 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were CHI 17, BUF 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (3 G), 2. Jack Quinn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Cozens (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    A. Tuch3 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Quinn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    D. Cozens1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI021817217
BUFBUF411011213635

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    Z. Benson(6)
    R. Dahlin (18), B. Byram (15)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:51
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(10)
    T. Thompson (10), R. Dahlin (19)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:23
  3. BUF
    J. Quinn(5)
    D. Cozens (11), J. Peterka (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:38
  4. BUF
    D. Cozens(8)
    J. Quinn (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-4
    19:18

2nd period

  1. CHI
    T. Bertuzzi(11)
    T. Hall (12), C. Bedard (22)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:39

3rd period

  1. CHI
    S. Jones(3)
    P. Maroon (8), L. Reichel (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    3:06
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(11)
    R. McLeod (11), S. Lafferty (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-5
    5:48
  3. BUF
    A. Tuch(12)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.21Video
    2-6
    15:06

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:24CHITJ Brodie · Hookingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 12:43BUFPeyton Krebs · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Korchinski2 min
  • 12:43CHIKevin Korchinski · Roughingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min

3rd

  • 3:28BUFAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalCHI goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, 1st 12:23 — BUF 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.29R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.26A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.21J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.21Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.12O. Power · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.09J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Benson · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.09J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.08J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.08J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.08M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.07P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.06P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.06R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.05J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.05P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.05O. Power · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.02J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.00R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF6 G · 3.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsBUF
1.62 G
All situations
6 G3.6
1.42 G
Even strength
6 G3.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI18%82%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 3.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsBUF
17
Shots on goal
35
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
35
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
11
20
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD101+120.20010—23:16
5C. MurphyD000-300.03520—21:42
72A. VlasicD000-220.13020—21:14
98C. BedardC011-140.402006320:11
42N. AllanD000000.02210—19:43
14K. KorchinskiD000-210.05002—16:51
59T. BertuzziL101-130.19100—16:21
71T. HallL011-100.0101010016:10
78T. BrodieD000-200.00212—15:37
95I. MikheyevR000-100.00200—14:44
86T. TeravainenC000-100.04100014:37
91F. NazarC000-100.162007114:34
73L. ReichelL011000.000005714:31
16J. DickinsonC000-200.003004014:28
77P. MaroonL011010.113103314:06
17N. FolignoL000-210.085002013:57
8R. DonatoC000-210.04300012:34
23P. KurashevC000020.13400011:24
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom24222.9172.56+0.5640:00
34P. Mrazek(L)1174.6361.08-2.9220:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).